Are You Bullish or Bearish?
Where Are We in the Cycle?
The bulls think that we are at the beginning of a bull market, but the bears think we are near the end of the cycle. Are you bullish or bearish about the economy? Give me your reasons in the comments section.
The recent sell-off in the markets has bolstered the bears viewpoint. The chinese real estate debacle, inflation persisting, the Fed signaling higher for longer, bearish seasonality, the Fitch downgrade, and skyrocketing credit card delinquinces are all adding to the bearish sentiment.
The bulls are seeing the beginning of a new bull market driven by a resilient economy and a tech led AI boom.
Personally, I believe we are experiencing a regular correction before a continuation to the upside. I have highlighted this area in the chart directly above.
I have also highlighted the areas where the bears believe the market is currently.
Are We at the Beginning or the End of the Economic Cycle?
The market experiences regular ups and downs during the mini cycles within the larger economic cycle. The market can only be in one of four stages of the economic cycle. The trough stage, expansion stage, the peak, and the contraction stage.
Where do you believe we are in the current economic cycle?
--ATTENTION ALL MOOERS--
Very soon I will be broadcasting live on the Moomoo platform. I will be giving some of my general insight about options investing through the economic cycle and sector rotation. I would appreciate everyone's viewership, so stay tuned for more details.
As always, this is not investment advice. Good luck trading. Be careful and be patient. Dont anticipate the market. Rather, participate in the market. Give your investments time. Don't be greedy. Don't invest in anything you don't understand. Don't put all of your eggs in one basket. Don't listen to the hype. Don't fomo or panic into or out of trades. And just follow the trends. A trend is your friend.
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$Activision Blizzard(ATVI.US$ $UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT UNSP ADR EACH REPR 1/5 ORD(UBSFY.US$ $Sony(SONY.US$ $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO.US$ $Electronic Arts Inc(EA.US$ $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ $NetEase(NTES.US$ $CD PROJEKT SA UNSPON ADS EACH REP 0.25 ORD SHS(OTGLY.US$ $Roblox(RBLX.US$ $NINTENDO CO LTD(NTDOY.US$ $Capcom Co., Ltd. Unsponsored ADR(CCOEY.US$ $Square Enix Holdings Co., Ltd. Unsponsored ADR(SQNNY.US$ $KONAMI GROUP CORPORATION UNSPON ADS EACH REP 1/2 ORD SHS(KONMY.US$
$-1X SHORT VIX FUTURES ETF(SVIX.US$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(UVXY.US$ $ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(SVXY.US$ $2x Long VIX Futures ETF(UVIX.US$ $DJIA Volatility(.VXD.US$ $NASDAQ 100 Volatility(.VXN.US$ $Cboe VXEEM Ask(.VAEEM.US$ $Cboe Apple VIX(.VXAPL.US$ $Cboe Amazon VIX(.VXAZN.US$ $Cboe IBM VIX(.VXIBM.US$ $Cboe Goldman Sachs VIX(.VXGS.US$ $Cboe 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Volatility Index(.VXTLT.US$ $Cboe Gold Volatility Index(.GVZ.US$ $Cboe Crude Oil Volatility Index(.OVX.US$ $S&P/ASX 200 VIX INDEX(.XVI.AU$ $HSI Volatility Index(800125.HK$
$Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF(BND.US$ $USD Emrg Mkts Bond Ishares(EMB.US$ $Short-Treasury Bond Ishares(SHV.US$ $SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF(BIL.US$ $1-3 Year Treasury Bond Ishares(SHY.US$ $3-7 Year Treasury Bond Ishares(IEI.US$ $Ishares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Etf(IEF.US$ $Ishares Trust 10-20 Year Treasury Bd Etf(TLH.US$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$
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Revelation 6 : Well, against the popular vote I don’t believe it’s contraction but the peak of a bear market.
A contraction is a period when economic output declines. During this phase, the economy is producing fewer goods and services than it did before.
Our economy hasn’t deteriorated far enough yet. Industrial production is strong and labor is still too good. The economy is still hot and interest rates are being increased to stop inflation. Things are still to good to be in a contraction. Just my opinion though.
SpyderCallOP Revelation 6: Sounds about right to me.
beachlover :
SPGC
recent IPO debut last week…tomorrow will be awesome 
SPGC
SpyderCallOP beachlover: there might some growth potential with this name. But as for a golf equipment company, I don't think this will be another Aaple or Tesla.
THE ANSWER IS : Menstrual Cycle
SpyderCallOP THE ANSWER IS: lots of red candles during that stage of the cyce. I would go with inverse leveraged shares or the vix