CEO David P. Bauer sees the new share repurchase program as a sign of the business's strong outlook and a way to boost shareholder value. However, the company admits that repurchases depend on factors like stock price, market conditions, and regulatory requirements.
The surprising drop in share price despite the company's move to profitability may indicate unresolved challenges. The company's worse performance last year compared to the annualised loss of 0.5% over the last half decade could be a bad sign for long term share price. However, the company's dividend payments have contributed to a higher TSR.
Despite National Fuel Gas's forecast growth aligning with the market, its lower P/E suggests investor skepticism about future growth expectations. The company's earnings instability may be pressuring the P/E ratio.
Based on the consistent ROCE trend, investors are advised to look further into National Fuel Gas as it could potentially become a multi-bagger, despite the stock only gaining 15% over the past five years.
There are some good ones Thursday. A couple big names in tech. Remember that tech earnings are either a make or break in this high interest rate environment. Bad earnings are severely punished. Even if they beat estimates if they point towards a troubled second quarter then they might get punished as well. That goes for most earnings in this bear market. Especially tech so be careful. Basically these tech companies must show that that are making revenue and future revenu...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged Monday as the Ukraine-Russia war sent oil prices higher again.$蘋果(AAPL.US)$,$亞馬遜(AMZN.US)$and$奈飛(NFLX.US)$fell despite bullish analyst calls.$Visa(V.US)$and$萬事達(MA.US)$dipped after suspending operations in Russia. A trio of stocks managed to test buy points despite the bearish action. Railroad play$CSX運輸(CSX.US)$, gold play$紐曼礦業(NEM.US)$...
As fuel prices continue to rocket, travel stocks are selling off. Meanwhile, travel booking and hotel stocks were also among Monday's worst performers. U.S. Global Jets$航空ETF-U.S. Global(JETS.US)$an ETF that tracks airline stocks, fell nearly 9%. Gold miners and oil stocks led the upside among the industry groups. These industry groups continue to provide a fair amount of breakouts for investors looking to stay active in the market. But the stock market remai...
$Archaea Energy(LFG.US)$ De-spac Play (M&A closed: 9/15/21) currently undervalued LFG is the Leading Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Company through the simultaneous merger of Aria Energy and Archaea Energy Sector Opportunity:Natural Gas has seen a major price increase based on Hurricane Ida, up 80% YTD and 31% last month; LFG is tracking that performance up 79% YTD and 32% last month; Goldman thinks the price of Natural Gas could double and recently invested $40M Revenue:$204M, growing at 38% CAGR; 2x better than the competitors Profitability:Day 1 profitable $40M in ‘20; In ’21, $65M, 38% margin; 10x EBITDA growth in 5 years; 3x better than the competitors Valuation:Trading at ~16x 2022 EV/EBITDA, Comps trading at 31x; Implies the stock is currently undervalued and could double Analyst coverage:PT $32 based on Ortex data, implies a 66% upside Institutions:Very high Ownership Accumulation Score on fintel, (Ranked 93 out of 21,606 companies); 72 Institutional Investors; Goldman recently invested $40M Stock:Up 30% in the last month; 100% upside based on comps: PT $40 Thinly traded stock with no shares to borrow, major volume spike could really drive price higher Catalysts:Natural gas price increases, Initiation reports from more established banks, continued institution buying, $National Fuel Gas(NFG.US)$$Ultrapar Participacoes(UGP.US)$$Atmos Energy(ATO.US)$
National Fuel Gas股票討論區
5年來營收除2019和2023外增長了3年,營業利潤則僅在2021和2022年迅速增長,其餘3年小幅下跌,淨利潤則受資本性資產減值影響在2020年虧損,5年平均淨利3.2億。2023年利息費用佔營業利潤的17.5%,利息負擔較重。淨資產收益率18.9%,5年最高達到29.3%。
由於NFG有4成收入來自公用事業,所以週期性表現的低於其它股票。
目前市盈率9.8,市盈率TTM9.8, 5年平均淨利對應市盈率爲14.5,市淨率1.56,股息率3.84%,估值對於週期股來說吸引力不大。
專欄Notable Earnings 5/5
Dow Jones Dives As Russia-Ukraine War Raises These Fears; Apple Stock, Amazon Fa
A trio of stocks managed to test buy points despite the bearish action. Railroad play $CSX運輸(CSX.US)$ , gold play $紐曼礦業(NEM.US)$...
Gas, Gold Stocks Breaking Out
Gold miners and oil stocks led the upside among the industry groups. These industry groups continue to provide a fair amount of breakouts for investors looking to stay active in the market. But the stock market remai...
專欄LFG - Archaea Energy - Deep Value play
De-spac Play (M&A closed: 9/15/21) currently undervalued
LFG is the Leading Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Company through the simultaneous merger of Aria Energy and Archaea Energy
Sector Opportunity:Natural Gas has seen a major price increase based on Hurricane Ida, up 80% YTD and 31% last month; LFG is tracking that performance up 79% YTD and 32% last month; Goldman thinks the price of Natural Gas could double and recently invested $40M
Revenue:$204M, growing at 38% CAGR; 2x better than the competitors
Profitability:Day 1 profitable $40M in ‘20; In ’21, $65M, 38% margin; 10x EBITDA growth in 5 years; 3x better than the competitors
Valuation:Trading at ~16x 2022 EV/EBITDA, Comps trading at 31x; Implies the stock is currently undervalued and could double
Analyst coverage:PT $32 based on Ortex data, implies a 66% upside
Institutions:Very high Ownership Accumulation Score on fintel, (Ranked 93 out of 21,606 companies); 72 Institutional Investors; Goldman recently invested $40M
Stock:Up 30% in the last month; 100% upside based on comps: PT $40 Thinly traded stock with no shares to borrow, major volume spike could really drive price higher
Catalysts:Natural gas price increases, Initiation reports from more established banks, continued institution buying,
$National Fuel Gas(NFG.US)$$Ultrapar Participacoes(UGP.US)$$Atmos Energy(ATO.US)$
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