$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ The CPI was successfully cleared, and we can see the Fed cutting interest rates 3 times this year! Due to the turning point, there are still 2 market predictions, but they are changing day by day.
If you look at the opposite even further, I think the unemployment rate and the real PCE 🤔
May the wind blow to bond holders 😁
If you look at the opposite even further, I think the unemployment rate and the real PCE 🤔
May the wind blow to bond holders 😁
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ There are a lot of concerns about stagflation right now! I don't think past stagflation will become full-scale stagflation unless it is an economy where crude oil prices soar and demand for energy rises 🤔
It's true that crude oil has soared slightly, but now it's a downward chart when it comes to dividing $80. OPEC is also making adjustments to plans to cut production 😅
The American economy is certainly strong, and I think there are many reports that the financial results of each company are doing well, but the current indicators don't show the economy to the extent that energy soars!
Since no other world or strong economy can be confirmed, I think the probability of stagflation is quite low. The only scariest thing is war 😱
Bond investors will continue to keep a close eye on the strong economy and crude oil movements since the war, but first I would like to expect American interest rate cuts from the CPI inflation rate 😊
It's true that crude oil has soared slightly, but now it's a downward chart when it comes to dividing $80. OPEC is also making adjustments to plans to cut production 😅
The American economy is certainly strong, and I think there are many reports that the financial results of each company are doing well, but the current indicators don't show the economy to the extent that energy soars!
Since no other world or strong economy can be confirmed, I think the probability of stagflation is quite low. The only scariest thing is war 😱
Bond investors will continue to keep a close eye on the strong economy and crude oil movements since the war, but first I would like to expect American interest rate cuts from the CPI inflation rate 😊
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ Currently, the Fed expects to cut interest rates 2 or 3 times a year if the FY24 FF interest rate is around 4.6! I'm predicting roughly 3 more times in '25 🎶
So was it possible to cut interest rates due to the speculation of the Fed in the past? Continuing for a long period of time, raising again, suddenly lowering, etc., this shows that financial tightening, which has been effective due to delays, is difficult to control.
However, we know that bond holders have generally moved in this way since the past. The problem is mental! I think the biggest enemy of investing is unsettling news, statements, and periods of anxiety (time).
Ahhh, I wish I had done this back then! How many more times can we enjoy this kind of historical timing without saying Talareba!? Let's look forward to investing like that 🥰
So was it possible to cut interest rates due to the speculation of the Fed in the past? Continuing for a long period of time, raising again, suddenly lowering, etc., this shows that financial tightening, which has been effective due to delays, is difficult to control.
However, we know that bond holders have generally moved in this way since the past. The problem is mental! I think the biggest enemy of investing is unsettling news, statements, and periods of anxiety (time).
Ahhh, I wish I had done this back then! How many more times can we enjoy this kind of historical timing without saying Talareba!? Let's look forward to investing like that 🥰
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ I'm looking at currency strengths and weaknesses in Forex though!
Countries have sold bonds since COVID-19, and debts have increased hugely! And now gold is exploding in all currencies!
There is also demand for money, and debt is not the only factor, but clearly currency value has fallen 😓
Not a small part of this is also the cause of inflation! The opposite of debt when printing bonds and scattering them 😖
Should I buy TLT, TMF+ gold ETFs too 🤔
Countries have sold bonds since COVID-19, and debts have increased hugely! And now gold is exploding in all currencies!
There is also demand for money, and debt is not the only factor, but clearly currency value has fallen 😓
Not a small part of this is also the cause of inflation! The opposite of debt when printing bonds and scattering them 😖
Should I buy TLT, TMF+ gold ETFs too 🤔
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ TLT TMF is still a technical indication of a decline, so we can't let our guard down. But I think Fanda is moving in a good direction 😊
We are now cutting interest rates twice by the end of the year, and I think interest rates will slowly fall 🤔
Let's wait and see for a while without being impatient 😊
We are now cutting interest rates twice by the end of the year, and I think interest rates will slowly fall 🤔
Let's wait and see for a while without being impatient 😊
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$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ Congratulations, it's still early, but this scene has been repeated over and over again since last year! However, I feel that the current state of the American economy is deteriorating.
■Employment worsens, domestic demand declines!
After that, if we observe a decline in the inflation rate, we will cut interest rates! However, prices are still high and there are wars, and concerns about stagflation remain 😓
Bond investors want the reverse yield curve to be resolved and the Therm rule to be invoked as soon as possible 😋
Holders who have persevered will buy more and hold on tight! If you are new, I think it's better to wait a little longer before purchasing 😊
I'm really glad it was a good Golden Week 🥰
■Employment worsens, domestic demand declines!
After that, if we observe a decline in the inflation rate, we will cut interest rates! However, prices are still high and there are wars, and concerns about stagflation remain 😓
Bond investors want the reverse yield curve to be resolved and the Therm rule to be invoked as soon as possible 😋
Holders who have persevered will buy more and hold on tight! If you are new, I think it's better to wait a little longer before purchasing 😊
I'm really glad it was a good Golden Week 🥰
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I'm always impressed and studying with stock comments 
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ The trend has begun to change slightly from market predictions to cutting interest rates once within the year, or from incorporating interest rate hikes, without interest rate hikes at least once!
The dollar and yen charts are being adjusted too much in terms of market predictions! Well, there is also exchange intervention 😅
There is also an election, so I want interest rates to be cut once by November 🤔 The trend of bond interest rates may change again with future index announcements, but I pray that bond investors will move in a good direction 🙏
The dollar and yen charts are being adjusted too much in terms of market predictions! Well, there is also exchange intervention 😅
There is also an election, so I want interest rates to be cut once by November 🤔 The trend of bond interest rates may change again with future index announcements, but I pray that bond investors will move in a good direction 🙏
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I hope interest rate cut observations will come out as time goes by! Personally, I think it's around November $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ Even though policy interest rates have remained the same due to reluctant inflation, TLT filled the window of around $85 in mind due to Powell's hawkish remarks! I will hold it firmly 😓
TMF is also predicting window filling!
I'm going to maintain my mentality 😅
TMF is also predicting window filling!
I'm going to maintain my mentality 😅
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US$ A major factor in the depreciation of the yen is the interest rate difference with the dollar and the widening trade deficit 🤔
There's nothing you can do about the latter, so you'll think about reducing interest rate differences first, right? Well then, the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates in September as soon as possible! What is America's interest rate cut?
Isn't it too early to intervene? I think so! It is said that there is a limit to intervention to buy yen! The Bank of Japan will not intervene without effect! So how many more times do you do it for the effects to come out? Or will American interest rate cuts come unexpectedly soon? I think about it 🤔
I'm worried about FOMC and I had a great time during Golden Week, so I want bond investors to move in a good direction in the future 🥺
There's nothing you can do about the latter, so you'll think about reducing interest rate differences first, right? Well then, the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates in September as soon as possible! What is America's interest rate cut?
Isn't it too early to intervene? I think so! It is said that there is a limit to intervention to buy yen! The Bank of Japan will not intervene without effect! So how many more times do you do it for the effects to come out? Or will American interest rate cuts come unexpectedly soon? I think about it 🤔
I'm worried about FOMC and I had a great time during Golden Week, so I want bond investors to move in a good direction in the future 🥺
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$Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US$ TMF is in a tough situation, but little by little we are collecting them! Maybe wait for interest rate cuts first? Last time, we predicted interest rate cuts and confirmed $65! In the unlikely event that the policy interest rate remains 4% higher, I think it will be over $65 🤔
What's more, TMF almost never goes to 0!? But I don't like unrealized losses 😭
TMF is a leverage product, but the risk also changes between stocks and bonds. Be careful of people who are looking at profits by rotating funds in a short period of time, but if you've had a tight grip until now, I think it's mental maintenance 😅
Interest rate cuts haven't come yet! we're finally getting close to cutting interest rates!? Is this the last mile? If interest rate cuts don't come in a long time, I'll think about it again at that time 😁
Risk and return are two sides of the same coin!
No one guarantees your assets, so you invest at your own risk!
What's more, TMF almost never goes to 0!? But I don't like unrealized losses 😭
TMF is a leverage product, but the risk also changes between stocks and bonds. Be careful of people who are looking at profits by rotating funds in a short period of time, but if you've had a tight grip until now, I think it's mental maintenance 😅
Interest rate cuts haven't come yet! we're finally getting close to cutting interest rates!? Is this the last mile? If interest rate cuts don't come in a long time, I'll think about it again at that time 😁
Risk and return are two sides of the same coin!
No one guarantees your assets, so you invest at your own risk!
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it seems like it will move a lot if we wait about 2 more months!![[empty]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/folder.5c37692712.png)
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