US stocks have reached a crossroads
Today's market is very delicate.
The price of crude oil, crude oil, suddenly fell below the 20-day EMA, which means that the upward trend may come to an end.
Previously, I also repeatedly reminded myself that when energy prices restart their downward trend, it's time to look for an opportunity to hit the bottom of technology stocks. We can't talk about going up or down yet; there's only a certain probability that it will peak. Continued observation is required.
Looking at big tech stocks, I suddenly discovered that the stock prices are all very subtle:
$Apple(AAPL.US$ ， $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ with $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$ The prices were all accurately stopped at the upper edge of the previous exit. Just like an athlete standing neatly on the starting line, it seems as soon as a gun sounds, they have to start running. It's just that no one can predict which way to run.
$Amazon(AMZN.US$ It stopped at the previous high before the earnings report. The gap was partially filled, and there was no closure.
$Tesla(TSLA.US$ Racing against the clock, they ran all the way from 300 to the southeast, and the meteor made their way to an important support level around 220. Hopefully, we can see a signal to stop the decline at that time.
Let's take a look at a few more rookies:
$Palantir(PLTR.US$ ， $Unity Software(U.US$ ， $Rivian Automotive(RIVN.US$ They all felt about the same. I only held a small amount of these three stocks, but I also lost some. But I'm sure it can go back up.
Is it true that robots are all trading with such precise control?
If this position stabilizes, then energy prices fall and expectations of interest rate hikes cool down, then technology stocks are about to jump again. But if the price of energy rises, or if other negative advantages occur, then there is still a decline.
My current strategy is to hold it in Kokura. If it falls, I buy it again; if it goes up, I earn a lot of points; if I earn less, I also earn money; if I'm not sure, I won't be heavy on my position.
Looking at bonds again, TLT also fell to about 94 positions on the upper edge of the gap, which is very subtle. However, TLT has no intention of stopping the decline at the moment, and I'm in no hurry to hit the bottom.
Since the rise in energy prices became uncertain, I sold other energy stocks and kept only $Occidental Petroleum(OXY.US$ I couldn't bear to sell this; I only sold Call. The price of exercising authority was the cost of opening a position at the time, which is lower than the current price. The first batch of calls sold expired on Friday. It has now basically returned to zero, so I settled my position smoothly and collected a wave of royalties. This is the second batch of calls. If I were to exercise my power next week, I would have earned at least two royalties, and I wouldn't have lost anything. If energy returns to the upward trend, I'll just add more positions. As long as it doesn't plummet, you won't lose money. I believe the stock market's heavy-held stocks won't plummet.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为富图系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。㊗️大家越来越🐮
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ENXS : There is too much quantification of popular tickets, and the recent turnover of domestic NASDAQ ETFs is not low. The news has been so intense lately that quantification itself is fighting over time.
151843728 : TMF has already lost 10%. Can you get back after 2 years?
Silverbat : The SP500 has come to a cliff!
高贵的阿德莱德OP 151843728: Why don't you switch to TLT, the dividend rate is higher
高贵的阿德莱德OP Silverbat: It is difficult to determine the direction, so it is most important to be careful
Silverbat 高贵的阿德莱德OP: Keep cash as the main focus, fast forward, fast out, don't dream
peace24z 151843728: Just hold it. It grows 3 times faster, and falls harshly. A loss of 10% is still acceptable. Let's first talk about how much of your mental loss is acceptable
意念 151843728: I personally don't think it's worth spending two years betting on an uncertain future
151843728 peace24z: With my very limited knowledge and experience, I don't think it's possible for interest rates to stay high for that long. A loss of 10% from a tripled ETF is not much. I won't need this money for 2-3 years. So it's an acceptable state. These are my own reasons for the peace of mind I gave myself as a newbie.
151843728 意念: But investments are generally not 100% certain, right? Relatively speaking only
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