Why does intrinsic value and market price differ for stocks?
Why does intrinsic value and market price differ for stocks?
In the world of investment, investors are constantly looking at companies that are undervalued or overvalued compared to their intrinsic value so that we could harvest the difference between market value and intrinsic value. That may sound easy, but it's often hard to achieve in real life, considering Intrinsic value is an estimate of the true value of a company.
在投資界,投資者一直在關注那些相對於內在價值被低估或高估的公司,這樣我們就可以收穫市場價值和內在價值之間的差異。這聽起來可能很容易,但在現實生活中往往很難實現,因為內在價值是對一家公司真實價值的估計。
Market Value, on the other hand, often refers to market capitalization which is simply the multiple of outstanding shares and the share price. Most of the time market value is significantly different from the intrinsic value which drives the market to be moving constantly.
另一方面,市值通常是指市值,簡單地説就是流通股和股價的倍數。大多數時候,市場價值與驅使市場不斷變動的內在價值是顯著不同的。
Intrinsic Value
內在價值
Intrinsic value is a core metric used by value investors to determine if a company is worthy to invest in. A value investor would either invest in stocks that have a market value that is lower than its intrinsic value, or short stocks that has a market value that is higher than its intrinsic value.
內在價值是價值投資者用來確定一家公司是否值得投資的核心指標。價值型投資者要麼投資市值低於內在價值的股票,要麼做空市值高於內在價值的股票。
Intrinsic value is difficult to determine since it's a complex of a company's both tangible and intangible assets, which includes financial performance, market sentiment, economic moat, and business strategy, etc. It's extremely difficult to define a certain price of these factors for both individual investors and professionals. It's very common for different investment firm provides different price expectations for a company.
內在價值很難確定,因為它是公司有形資產和無形資產的綜合體,包括財務業績、市場情緒、經濟護城河和經營戰略等。對於個人投資者和專業人士來説,很難為這些因素確定一定的價格。不同的投資公司為一家公司提供不同的價格預期是很常見的。
There are multiple ways to define intrinsic value. One of the most common is estimating by Discounted Cash Flow model. The intrinsic value of a company is the present value of the future free cash flows of the company in DCF calculation. However, this method only measures financial performance and is limited by model risk.
定義內在價值有多種方式。其中最常用的一種是用貼現現金流模型進行估計。在折現現金流計算中,公司的內在價值是公司未來自由現金流的現值。然而,這種方法只衡量財務業績,並受到模型風險的限制。
Market Value
市場價值
Market value is the company's value calculated by multiplying its current share price and outstanding shares amount. It rarely reflects the actual value of the company. Since the market value of a company is highly correlated to the market sentiment about a company. The share price of a company could be pushed by a market frenzy to any price. The perfect example is the meme stocks that are favored by WSB investors in 2021.
市值是公司的價值乘以其當前股價和流通股數量計算出來的。它很少能反映出公司的實際價值。因為一家公司的市值與市場對一家公司的情緒高度相關。一家公司的股價可能會被市場狂熱推高至任何價格。最好的例子是2021年備受WSB投資者青睞的表情包股票。
The market value is normally higher than the intrinsic value of the company if there is strong investment demand, which could cause a possible overvaluation. The opposite is true if there is weak investment demand, which can lead to the undervaluation of the company.
如果有強勁的投資需求,市值通常會高於公司的內在價值,這可能會導致估值過高。如果投資需求疲軟,則情況正好相反,這可能導致公司估值被低估。
Source: Investopedia
來源:Investopedia
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