share_log

Arko Corp. (NASDAQ:ARKO) First-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Arko Corp. (NASDAQ:ARKO) First-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Arko Corp.(納斯達克股票代碼:ARKO)第一季度業績剛剛公佈:以下是分析師對今年的預測
Simply Wall St ·  05/11 09:10

Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 23% over the past week following Arko Corp.'s (NASDAQ:ARKO) latest first-quarter results. It looks like the results were pretty good overall. While revenues of US$2.1b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory losses were much smaller than expected, with Arko losing US$0.02 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

股東們將欣喜若狂,繼Arko Corp. 之後,他們的股份在過去一週上漲了23%s(納斯達克股票代碼:ARKO)最新的第一季度業績。總體而言,結果似乎相當不錯。儘管21億美元的收入與分析師的預測一致,但法定虧損遠小於預期,Arko每股虧損0.02美元。分析師通常會在每份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的問題需要注意。因此,我們收集了最新的業績後預測,以了解估計對明年的預測。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqCM:ARKO Earnings and Revenue Growth May 11th 2024
納斯達克公司:ARKO 收益和收入增長 2024 年 5 月 11 日

Taking into account the latest results, Arko's five analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be US$9.27b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to drop to approximately break-even in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$9.25b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.075 in 2024. So there's definitely been a decline in sentiment after the latest results, noting the new EPS forecasts.

考慮到最新業績,Arko的五位分析師目前預計2024年的收入爲92.7億美元,與過去12個月大致持平。預計同期每股法定收益將降至近似盈虧平衡。在本業績發佈之前,分析師一直預測2024年的收入爲92.5億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲0.075美元。因此,注意到新的每股收益預測,最新業績公佈後,市場情緒肯定有所下降。

We'd also point out that thatthe analysts have made no major changes to their price target of US$7.90. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Arko at US$11.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$5.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

我們還要指出,分析師沒有對7.90美元的目標股價做出重大調整。共識目標股價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基礎估計值的範圍有多廣。目前,最看漲的分析師對Arko的估值爲每股11.00美元,而最看跌的分析師估值爲每股5.00美元。這是相當廣泛的估計,表明分析師正在預測該業務的各種可能結果。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 1.8% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 23% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 4.9% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Arko is expected to lag the wider industry.

了解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是研究它們與過去的業績相比如何,以及同一行業中其他公司的表現。這些估計表明,收入預計將放緩,預計到2024年底年化下降1.8%。這表明與過去五年的23%的年增長率相比大幅下降。相比之下,我們的數據表明,在可預見的將來,預計同一行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入每年將增長4.9%。因此,儘管預計其收入將萎縮,但這種雲並沒有帶來一線希望——預計Arko將落後於整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Arko. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Arko's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$7.90, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最大的擔憂是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,這表明Arko可能會面臨業務不利因素。幸運的是,分析師還重申了他們的收入預期,表明收入符合預期。儘管我們的數據確實表明,預計Arko的收入表現將比整個行業差。共識目標股價穩定在7.90美元,最新估計不足以對其目標股價產生影響。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Arko going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。我們對Arko的預測將持續到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Arko you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

但是,你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了你應該注意的5個Arko警告信號,其中一個是重要的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論