Is Shouhang High-Tech Energy (SZSE:002665) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Shouhang High-Tech Energy (SZSE:002665) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shouhang High-Tech Energy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002665) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,首航高新能源有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002665)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Shouhang High-Tech Energy's Debt?
首航高科能源的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shouhang High-Tech Energy had CN¥474.9m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥1.64b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥367.8m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥107.2m.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示首航高科技能源在2023年9月有4.749億元人民幣的債務,低於一年前的16.4億元人民幣。但是,它也有3.678億元的現金,因此其淨負債爲1.072億元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Shouhang High-Tech Energy's Balance Sheet?
首航高新能源的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shouhang High-Tech Energy had liabilities of CN¥1.16b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.64b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥367.8m and CN¥1.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥870.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,首航高新能源的負債爲11.6億元人民幣在一年內到期,16.4億元人民幣的負債在此之後到期。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲3.678億元人民幣,還有價值15.6億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出8.702億元人民幣。
Since publicly traded Shouhang High-Tech Energy shares are worth a total of CN¥5.73b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shouhang High-Tech Energy will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
由於首航高科能源公開交易的股票總價值爲57.3億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲首航高科技能源需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Over 12 months, Shouhang High-Tech Energy reported revenue of CN¥769m, which is a gain of 66%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在過去的12個月中,首航高科能源公佈的收入爲7.69億元人民幣,增長了66%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。運氣好的話,該公司將能夠實現盈利。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Even though Shouhang High-Tech Energy managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost CN¥226m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥304m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Shouhang High-Tech Energy's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.
儘管首航高新能源成功地實現了營收增長,但冷酷的事實是,它在息稅前利潤線上虧損。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了2.26億元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。如果它將過去十二個月的虧損3.04億元人民幣轉化爲利潤,我們會感覺更好。因此,我們確實認爲這隻股票風險很大。當我們研究風險較高的公司時,我們喜歡檢查他們的利潤(或虧損)隨時間推移的趨勢。今天,我們向讀者提供這張交互式圖表,展示了首航高科能源的利潤、收入和運營現金流在過去幾年中發生了怎樣的變化。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。