There wouldn't be many who think Garrett Motion Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GTX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Auto Components industry in the United States is similar at about 0.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Garrett Motion
What Does Garrett Motion's Recent Performance Look Like?
Garrett Motion could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Garrett Motion.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Garrett Motion's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.6% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 34% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 2.5% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Garrett Motion's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
When you consider that Garrett Motion's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Garrett Motion (2 are significant!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Garrett Motion's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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