ProAssurance Corporation (NYSE:PRA) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think ProAssurance's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Insurance industry is similar at about 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for ProAssurance
How Has ProAssurance Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for ProAssurance as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think ProAssurance's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is ProAssurance's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like ProAssurance's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 27% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 0.2% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 6.3% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's curious that ProAssurance's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On ProAssurance's P/S
Following ProAssurance's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
When you consider that ProAssurance's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for ProAssurance with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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