Right hand position, open
Today, the market has risen to a critical level of pressure. The lower edge of the gap around 4,400 points.
Many of the stocks I hold have also risen to critical pressure levels, including:
I chose to reduce my position. Right hand positions began to be shorted according to the left-right approach.
Currently, we are facing two possible outcomes:
1. If the CPI is favorable and the resistance is broken through, the right-hand position will promptly accept the loss and stop loss and buy the stock.
2. The CPI is weak, the right-hand position is maintained, and wait until it falls to the support level, make up for it, and buy stocks.
Today's position was increased, or the right hand made up for two stocks:
$ASML Holding(ASML.US$The price is at the 600 mark. If you go short, you need to understand the profit. So I chose to buy it. The current position is 7%.
$Occidental Petroleum(OXY.US$ , the current position is 8%.
Finally, let's talk about tlt
A friend asked me when to enter. This question varies from person to person. Everyone's trading style, investment goals, and position planning are different. Every investor needs to develop their own trading strategy. For example, my current strategy is to fight left and right. Other people's strategies can only be used as a reference for yourself. Blindly following the trend may make money, but this is not an investment.
TLT had a good trading volume yesterday. Today, it jumped high and stood on MA10. It is unwise to continue shorting TLT now. According to my left-right strategy, I should make up with the bears, that is, buy TLT. However, since I had a few layouts on the left before, the average cost is about 91-92, and we are still in a state of loss. Bond accounts have not previously been operated based on mutual competition between left and right. They have suffered some losses, and will improve in the future. But anyway, I decided to keep watching today because I already have positions. The safest way to enter on the right is to stand on MA10 and MA20 at the same time. There are several possibilities in the future market:
1. After another week or so of trading sideways, you'll be able to stand on MA20 while lying down. There is no need to make up for today's gap; time is replaced by space. This is a bullish signal.
2. After a second bottoming, it broke through the neck line and was bullish. Assuming that the gap is closed and the bottom is explored twice, today's price is likely to be the neck line.
3. Continue to attack, jump from place to place, and break through MA20 directly upward.
4. The volume fell below 84 and was bearish. The probability is small.
If it's the first two, I'm right in choosing to wait. If it were the third type, I wouldn't regret it because I missed it, because there is a lot of selling pressure from above, it will rise if the bottom is not built, and the foundation is unstable. There will also be a callback later, and there will be a chance to get on the bus. Unless there is a black swan time when banks go bankrupt, wars expand, etc., I hope not.
The Fed has been buzzing for the past two days. Presumably they have seen some problems, or some hidden danger has arisen. Anyway, we can't let interest rates rise any further. Otherwise, something will happen. Hurry out and release the pigeons![]()
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So in the short term, I think it's very unlikely that tlt will continue to fall or fall below 84.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为富图系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。㊗️大家越来越🐮
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Aaron BULL : Will oil still rise? Does Occidental Petroleum want to come out first
高贵的阿德莱德OP Aaron BULL: No one can predict the price movement of oil. Technically, I wouldn't choose to short OXY at this price. According to the left-right fighting theory, it should be held. If oil fundamentals change, such as when the global economy falls into recession, I will kick OXY out of my position portfolio; that's another matter. Today's PPI is OK, and China has further stimulated the economy. Currently, we have not seen a recession.
高贵的阿德莱德OP Investors 007: It would be unwise to gamble on the rise and fall of oil prices. See the previous reply.
mubbiiee : The Federal Reserve is really an example of rapid change. When the TLT was over 90, I felt that interest rates were low, and when it was 85, I didn't like it too high again. I simply gave a market guide price; everyone in the province guessed it.
高贵的阿德莱德OP mubbiiee: It is both necessary and necessary; the result is both right and standing. There doesn't seem to be any plan right now. When inflation comes, they take it off; when the crisis comes, they dove; they keep putting out fires everywhere; their credibility is basically zero
However, this is no longer enough for the old man. As long as the old Biden cuts all kinds of expenses to stimulate the economy, inflation will immediately disappear.
mubbiiee 高贵的阿德莱德OP: Therefore, the capital market does not look at sharp falls and surges; it would be nice to develop strategies that rely on time to make money, collect premiums, and interest. It's just dragging on like this, and there's no way to escape the long-term stagnation.
SarinaHerry Aaron BULL: No, a pullback is needed to benefit the rise