Open a warehouse
$Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$ Since I complained last year that Google hasn't laid off employees, I've closed my stock. After the press conference rolled over, I thought Google would be ashamed and brave, so I set up a reminder at the break through the gap and open a position when it fell here. The first entry position is 90, and the position is 1%. The second position is 85, the position is increased by 2%, the third position is about 75, the position is increased by 3%, the fourth position is about 60, and the position is increased by 4%. In total, a 10% position is planned.
I arrived at the first stop before the market today, so I bought 1% at the opening of the market. As soon as the market opens, the previous gap has already been filled, so it should return to 83-85 later, and there is a high possibility that it will reach a new low. But that doesn't prevent me from entering the market now. After all, it's only 1% of the position, so I'm not afraid that he will continue to drop.
What is the biggest advantage of retail investors compared to institutions? It's risk tolerance. As a retail investor, I have a full time job and stable income, and other investments such as real estate, bank deposits, and short-term US Treasury bonds, so I'm not afraid to lose money. I had a wild game last year. I made a huge profit by shorting semiconductors, but then I almost lost everything. So I'm being cautious about shorting this year. My investment was relatively steady this year. I mainly wanted to invest some of the money I originally planned to invest in real estate in the stock market. I have to be very careful with this part of the money; I can't afford to lose it. However, the money I invested in the stock market before was all the income from other investments. It was all profit and then run away. Even if I burnt out my position to zero, it didn't have much impact on my life.
Real estate investment has stable cash flow and low risk, which I prefer. However, I'm currently not very optimistic about the US real estate market, so I think I'll only buy one investment house this year.
I'm more optimistic about bonds this year. despite $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ It's been almost 10% down from a high point these past few days, and I think it's almost bottomed out. tlt fell another 10% at most. If it actually falls below 90 yuan, then the dividend rate is very attractive. It will definitely rise again in the future. As long as you keep holding on, you won't lose anything.
Also, I think, assuming that TLT is currently 100 yuan, S&P is 4,000 points. I took 30% of my tlt position and gambled that within the next 12-24 months, tlt would outperform spy.
If the return on investment were this: 4% survival period, 5% treasury bond purchase, and 6% annualized S&P, how many people would risk trading stocks? This is probably the stock market death zone that analysts at Damo warned about.
As to whether S&P can reach 3,000 points, it is possible in the future, depending on whether the Fed actually wants to control inflation. As long as the general market does not fall to 3000, inflation will not return to 2%. However, the Fed can drop the 2% inflation target![]()
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In the short term, I see a fluctuation of 3900-4100, leaving it high and breathing low. Anyway, as long as the positions are in tlt and YCS, just have fun with stocks. $ProShares UltraShort Yen(YCS.US$
Anyway, I haven't dared to touch semiconductors lately, just sit back and wait $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ Go back to around 150 and talk about it![]()
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为富图系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。㊗️大家越来越🐮
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勇敢韭韭不怕困难 : I'd like to ask you which companies own the portion that receives interest?
高贵的阿德莱德OP 勇敢韭韭不怕困难: Are you asking me about dividend stocks I invest in? I will give priority to those that can both make money and grow, and are not afraid of a recession, such as health care, utilities, insurance, necessities of life, including UNH, PG, MCD, etc. There are also banks, such as Soma and Soma. They will also choose some highly defensive technology companies, such as IBM, MSFT, etc. Leading companies in the energy resource category can also be considered, but they are relatively cyclical and require long-term fixed investment to have relatively good returns
勇敢韭韭不怕困难 高贵的阿德莱德OP:
勇敢韭韭不怕困难 高贵的阿德莱德OP:
Thanks for the answers.
sTone83 : There's no problem with Google opening an observation warehouse now, but if you look back at TLT in the future, there may be some problems
高贵的阿德莱德OP sTone83: The market is so chaotic now, I just think that TLT is less risky than Spy; I can only take a look at it one step at a time.