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Here’s How to Play Skillz Stock Like a Champ

Here’s How to Play Skillz Stock Like a Champ

下面是如何像冠軍一樣玩斯基爾茨股票公司(Skill Z Stock)
InvestorPlace ·  2021/08/30 14:51

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It’s been a battle royale dominated by a rather large group of short-sellers in 2021. But can apes and bulls pull together going forward and dismantle the bearish cycle in Skillz (NYSE:SKLZ) stock?

2021年,這是一場由相當大的賣空者主導的戰鬥。但猿類和公牛能否齊心協力向前邁進,打破看跌循環?技能(紐約證券交易所代碼:SKLZ)股票?

Source: NYCStock / Shutterstock.com
來源:NYCStock/Shutterstock.com

Let’s examine SKLZ stock off and on the price chart, then offer a risk-adjusted determination aligned with those findings.

讓我們在價格圖上分析SKLZ的股票,然後提供與這些發現相一致的風險調整後的決定。

What goes up, must come down. It’s not always the case, but in the stock market and specific to the bulk of last year’s over-heated SPAC market, it’s certainly proven the case.

往上走,就得往下走。情況並不總是如此,但在股市,特別是去年過熱的SPAC市場的大部分,這一點肯定得到了證明。

QuantumScape (NYSE:QS). Opendoor Technologies (NASDAQ:OPEN). FuboTV (NYSE:FUBO). Fisker (NYSE:FSR). They’re but some of this year’s popular SPAC casualties.

Quantumscape(紐約證券交易所代碼:QS)。OpenDoor Technologies(納斯達克:打開). FuboTV(紐約證券交易所代碼:FUBO)。費斯克紐約證券交易所代碼:FSR)。他們只是今年受歡迎的SPAC受害者中的一部分。

Is SKLZ Stock a SPAC Casualty?

SKLZ股票是SPAC意外傷害嗎?

And that woeful underperformance includes de-SPAC’d mobile esports platform SKLZ stock.

這種糟糕的表現包括DeSpAC的移動體育平台SKLZ股票。

Company-specific excuses of course are everywhere. But key and not to be overlooked, a broader and less sympathetic backlash by Wall Street against sky-high and no-multiple growth stocks widespread to an invasively bullish SPAC market in 2020, has been critical to SKLZ bearish price compression.

當然,針對公司的藉口無處不在。但關鍵的、不容忽視的是,華爾街對2020年普遍存在於咄咄逼人的看漲SPAC市場的天價和無倍數成長股的更廣泛、更不具同情心的反彈,一直是SKLZ看跌價格壓縮的關鍵。

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Today though, down about 45% year-to-date and more than 75% beneath Skillz peak $15.60 billion valuation and share price of $46.30 from early February, supports for the stock’s bearish cycle to finish are growing.

不過,目前該股今年迄今已下跌約45%,較2月初斯基爾茨峯值156億美元的估值和46.30美元的股價低了75%以上,因此越來越多的人支持該股結束看跌週期。

Off the price chart, SKLZ enjoyed a huge boon in paid subscriptions from mobile gamers wanting to play in Skillz esports and tournaments. Over the past year and through the end of Skillz first-quarter the outfit managed to grow its monthly paying players (MPP) by 209,000 and nearly double its base of 467,000.

在價格圖表之外,SKLZ從想要參加斯基爾茨體育賽事和錦標賽的手機遊戲玩家那裏獲得了巨大的付費訂閲。在過去的一年裏,直到斯基爾茨第一季度末,該機構設法將月薪球員(MPP)增加了20.9萬人,幾乎是46.7萬人基數的兩倍。

The Second Quarter

第二季度

This past month’s Q2 release did result in Skillz’s first contraction of MPP growth after eight consecutive quarters of gains. Still, a modest miss amounted to a loss of just 4,000 MPP’s following torrid Covid-assisted user growth.

上個月發佈的第二季度報告確實導致了斯基爾茨在連續八個季度增長後首次出現MPP增長收縮。儘管如此,在Covid的幫助下用户快速增長後,適度的失誤只相當於損失了4000 MPP。

Reasonably too, with most MPP’s unlikely to put down their mobile devices in favor of battle royale water gun battles in the park post-Covid, appreciatively SKLZ stock’s sales multiple has shrunk from a fairly hefty 40-plus ratio to one which finds shares fetching a more manageable forward price of about 11x.

此外,由於大多數MPP不太可能放下移動設備,轉而支持後Covid時代公園裏的皇家水槍大戰,令人欣慰的是,SKLZ股票的銷售倍數已經從相當高的40多倍縮小到了更容易管理的遠期價格的11倍左右。

To be fair, the price of marketing and expenses associated with SKLZ’s accumulation and retention of MPP’s has come with a steep cost. In 2021’s first six months the company took in $173 million in revenue but spent $196 million in sales and marketing.

公平地説,與SKLZ積累和保留MPP相關的營銷和費用的價格已經帶來了高昂的成本。在2021年的前六個月,該公司獲得了1.73億美元的收入,但在銷售和營銷方面花費了1.96億美元。

It’s less-than-terrific. And investors didn’t overlook the obvious, either. Immediately after SKLZ late July quarterly release, shares plummeted by nearly 11% to fresh year-to-date lows. But conditions could be looking up going forward.

這不算太棒。投資者也沒有忽視一個顯而易見的事實。SKLZ在7月下旬發佈季度報告後,股價立即暴跌近11%,創下今年以來的新低。但未來情況可能會好轉。

Skillz early June acquisition of data marketing shop Aarki which uses machine-learning algorithms to facilitate stronger outcomes, MPP-related expenses should begin to see a meaningful reduction in those costs over the coming quarters.

Skillz在6月初收購了數據營銷公司Aarki,該公司使用機器學習算法來促進更強勁的結果,在接下來的幾個季度裏,與MPP相關的費用應該會開始有意義地降低。

Aarki also promises to be a significant growth accelerator as it facilitates more varied player options such as popular battle royale capabilities which pit teams of players against each other.

Aarki也有望成為一個重要的增長加速器,因為它促進了更多的玩家選擇,比如流行的戰鬥皇室能力,讓玩家團隊相互競爭。

SKLZ Stock Weekly Price Chart

SKLZ股票周線價格圖表


Source: Charts by TradingView

來源:TradingView圖表

Amid the bullish and bearish evidence presented above, but also factoring in Skillz’s inflated short interest of 23% and a lifetime double-bottom pattern nearing its finishing touches, SKLZ stock may be ready to challenge a battle royale that’s largely favored bears for nearly six months.

在上述看漲和看跌的證據中,考慮到斯基爾茨誇大了23%的空頭利率,以及終生雙底模式接近尾聲,SKLZ股票可能已經準備好挑戰一場在近六個月來基本上看好空頭的戰鬥。

Technically and as the illustrated weekly chart reveals, shares of SKLZ are now in a second week of inside price consolidation after forming a possible pattern pivot low. A bullish reaction in Skillz through last week’s high of $11.34 sets the stage for a meaningful bottom and hopefully, longer-term rally.

從技術上講,正如所示的周線圖所顯示的那樣,SKLZ的股票在形成一個可能的格局支點低點後,目前正處於第二週的內部價格盤整中。斯基爾茨的看漲反應突破了上週11.34美元的高點,為一個有意義的底部和更長期的反彈奠定了基礎。

Right now and with stochastics having already crossed bullishly over, the situation in SKLZ stock simply deserves monitoring for a buy signal.

現在,在隨機因素已經看漲的情況下,SKLZ股票的情況完全值得關注,以尋找買入信號。

Bottom line though and to play the game more effectively and regardless of what your battle royale ape teammates may or may not be doing, an intermediate-term December or January $12.50/$20 collar looks like an interesting way to bet more smartly on SKLZ stock.

不過,為了更有效地玩這個遊戲,不管你的戰鬥皇室猿隊友可能會做什麼,或者不會做什麼,12月份或1月份的中期12.50美元/20美元領子看起來是一個更聰明地押注SKLZ股票的有趣方式。

On the date of publication, Chris Tyler does not hold (either directly or indirectly) positions in any securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在本文發表之日,克里斯·泰勒並未(直接或間接)持有本文提到的任何證券的頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南的約束。

Chris Tyler is a former floor-based, derivatives market maker on the American and Pacific exchanges. For additional market insights and related musings, follow Chris on Twitter @Options_CAT and StockTwits.

克里斯·泰勒(Chris Tyler)是美國和太平洋交易所(American And Pacific Exchange)前場內衍生品做市商。有關更多市場洞察和相關思考,請在Twitter@Options_cat和StockTwits上關注Chris。

The post Here’s How to Play Skillz Stock Like a Champ appeared first on InvestorPlace.

這裏的帖子是如何像冠軍一樣玩斯基爾茨股票,第一次出現在InvestorPlace上。

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