The US deficit far exceeded expectations, but the 'long US bond' trade still returned.
The trading of US bonds that leaned long in the past week has rebounded significantly. According to a JPMorgan bond customer survey, in the week ended June 17th, the long position of US bonds rose by 6 percentage points, pushing the net long position to the highest level since May 20th. The overnight weaker retail data further fueled the rise in US bond prices and diving yields.
Slowing U.S. Inflation Expected to Open Up Opportunities in Bond Markets
0658 GMT - Slowing U.S. inflation is likely to coincide with a broader pullback in U.S. economic growth, and the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate-cut time frame highlights potential fixed-income opp
Piper Sandler: Biden's re-election will boost 10-year US Treasury yields
Investment bank strategist Piper Sandler said that if Biden is re-elected as US president in November this year, 10-year US bond yields may rise by about 12 basis points.
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were “hawked” and the US debt fell slightly
The minutes of the US Federal Reserve's May meeting released on Wednesday showed that many policymakers questioned whether the policy was strict enough to reduce inflation to the target level. Affected by this, US debt fell, with short-term US debt leading the decline.
Bond traders cut bets on the Fed's interest rate cut, and US debt bears are back on the rise
Traders remain cautious and wait for more data to confirm that inflation is moving in the right direction, while waiting for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes of the May meeting to be released on Wednesday to provide new clues about the Federal Reserve's policy path.
US Treasury bonds fell for the third day in a row, and optimism about inflation faded
US Treasury bonds fell for the third day in a row on Monday, continuing to reduce last week's gains due to signs of easing inflationary pressure.
Will ultra-long-term US bonds usher in a “bear market reversal”? Bank of America: 30Y US bonds are the “best hedge” to prevent a hard landing
Bank of America investment strategist Michael Hartnett said that returns on 30-year US Treasury bonds have been extremely poor in recent years, but that may change this year.
Bond traders wait for CPI to boost gains
Nothing will determine the direction of the US bond market more than monthly inflation data this year. This week was no exception.
Wall Street's Zero-Day Options Frenzy Continues: Is It a Ticking Time Bomb?
As Wall Street's infatuation with rapid-fire stock options approaches its two-year mark, a Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey indicates the trend's momentum may not be waning, even though concerns of an eventual market crash loom among industry participants.
The Federal Reserve's “pigeon dispute” is intense, and traders carefully weigh the next steps after the US debt bears ebb
The direction of the Federal Reserve's policy this year is still very controversial, and interest rate traders are afraid to make big bets.
The US Treasury's “debt issuance wave” is here! The global equity market is facing a major test
Powell's less aggressive rhetoric and weak employment last week boosted global bond prices; the US will issue $125 billion of 3-year, 10-year, and 30-year treasury bonds this week.
April Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Latest Employment Data Unlikely to Change Fed's More Hawkish Stance
After a solid job report in March, the April figures are likely to suggest once more that the labor market is still tight.
[Last minute summary] Dollar appreciation and stock depreciation due to falling FOMC interest rate cut expectations
The results of the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will be announced at 3:00 a.m. this evening, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference from 3:30 a.m.
Federal Reserve May Cut Interest Rates Three Times in 2024: Julius Baer
Mark Matthews, head of Asia research at Julius Baer, explains why he sees three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. He speaks on "Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia."
Support for U.S. Bonds Will Crumble If Fed Doves Fade -- Market Talk
There has been a lack of sustained follow-through selling in the U.S. bond market of late, but the levels of support that are currently visible are expected to collapse if the Fed pushes back hard on rate cut expectations at this week's FOMC meeting, says John Canavan, lead analyst at Oxford Economics.
Jared Bernstein on Inflation, The Federal Reserve
Jared Bernstein, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, breaks down the recent data showing softer growth and hotter inflation, and if there should be any concerns over consumer sentiments. He states that the economy is still very strong and shares his thoughts on how he sees inflation coming down as the Federal Reserve is no longer hiking interest rates. Jared Bernstein speaks with Kailey Leinz and Joe Mathieu on Bloomberg's "Balance of Power."
We're Getting Whiffs of Stagflation, Sosnick Says
Steve Sosnick, Interactive Brokers chief strategist, says the push-pull between stocks and bonds is getting a little nerve racking. He says the bond market is starting to get a little stressed. He is on "Bloomberg Markets: The Close."
US stocks closed | PCE suspends inflation concerns, Google's performance soared more than 10% after that, and Nvidia rose more than 6%
The S&P Index rose 2.67% this week, and the NASDAQ rose 4.23%, all of which recorded the biggest weekly gain since November last year; the China General Index rose nearly 9% weekly, the biggest increase since July last year.
Bonds Have Had a Wild Ride. The Roller Coaster Is Coming to a Stop
About the author: Harley Bassman is the managing partner at Simplify Asset Management. He is the creator of the MOVE index, the standard measure of interest-rate volatility.
Stubborn inflation made the Fed's dream of cutting interest rates drift farther and farther away, and the US bond market was sold off
US Treasury yields rose to 2024 highs, and given evidence that pressure on US prices continues, people have doubts about the ability of the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates later this year.