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BOC Aviation Limited's (HKG:2588) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  May 22 00:05

BOC Aviation Limited's (HKG:2588) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Trade Distributors industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios below 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2588 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024

What Does BOC Aviation's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, BOC Aviation has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think BOC Aviation's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For BOC Aviation?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as BOC Aviation's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.5% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 5.3% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that BOC Aviation's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that BOC Aviation currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for BOC Aviation (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of BOC Aviation's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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