Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation (NASDAQ:ADPT) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 50% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 44% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Adaptive Biotechnologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Life Sciences industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Adaptive Biotechnologies Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Adaptive Biotechnologies as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the industry. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Adaptive Biotechnologies.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Adaptive Biotechnologies would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.3%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 51% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.2% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.2% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this in mind, it makes sense that Adaptive Biotechnologies' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What Does Adaptive Biotechnologies' P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Adaptive Biotechnologies' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look at Adaptive Biotechnologies' revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Adaptive Biotechnologies that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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