share_log

Semtech Corporation's (NASDAQ:SMTC) Share Price Boosted 30% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 28 10:00

Despite an already strong run, Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ:SMTC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 84%.

Although its price has surged higher, Semtech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Semiconductor industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SMTC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 28th 2024

What Does Semtech's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Semtech has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Semtech.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Semtech's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 0.7% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 46% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Semtech is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Semtech's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Semtech's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Semtech maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Semtech you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment