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Hercules Capital, Inc. (NYSE:HTGC) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 22 08:43

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Hercules Capital, Inc. (NYSE:HTGC) as an attractive investment with its 8.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Hercules Capital has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:HTGC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 22nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Hercules Capital's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Hercules Capital?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hercules Capital would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 191% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 12% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Hercules Capital's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Hercules Capital's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Hercules Capital maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hercules Capital (including 1 which is significant).

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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