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Is Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd (SHSE:688031) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd (SHSE:688031) Using Too Much Debt?

星環科技(上海)有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688031)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 20:17

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Transwarp Technology (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688031) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到星環科技(上海)有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所代碼:688031)確實在其業務中使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's Net Debt?

星環科技(上海)有限公司的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd had debt of CN¥87.7m, up from none in one year. But it also has CN¥1.19b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.10b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,星環科技(上海)有限公司的債務爲8,770萬元人民幣,高於一年的無債務。但它也有11.9億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它擁有11.0億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688031 Debt to Equity History March 30th 2024
SHSE: 688031 2024 年 3 月 30 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's Liabilities

看看星環科技(上海)有限公司的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥179.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥44.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.19b as well as receivables valued at CN¥293.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.26b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,星環科技(上海)有限公司的負債爲1.793億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲4,480萬元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有11.9億元人民幣的現金以及價值2.932億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出12.6億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種盈餘表明,星環科技(上海)有限公司正在以一種看似既安全又保守的方式使用債務。由於其強大的淨資產狀況,它不太可能面臨貸款人的問題。簡而言之,星環科技(上海)有限公司的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定星環科技(上海)有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 44%, to CN¥538m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

去年,星環科技(上海)有限公司在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但其收入增長了44%,達到5.38億元人民幣。運氣好的話,該公司將能夠實現盈利。

So How Risky Is Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd?

那麼星環科技(上海)有限公司的風險有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥463m and booked a CN¥270m accounting loss. However, it has net cash of CN¥1.10b, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Transwarp Technology (Shanghai)Ltd you should be aware of.

從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。事實是,在過去的十二個月中,星環科技(上海)有限公司的息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負4.63億元人民幣,會計虧損2.7億元人民幣。但是,它的淨現金爲11.0億元人民幣,因此在需要更多資金之前還有一段時間。憑藉去年非常穩健的收入增長,星環科技(上海)有限公司可能正在走上盈利之路。通過在這些利潤之前進行投資,股東會承擔更大的風險,希望獲得更大的回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了星環科技(上海)有限公司的一個警告信號,你應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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