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Getting In Cheap On Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPWR) Is Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 31, 2023 07:41

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 67.2x Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPWR) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Monolithic Power Systems has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Monolithic Power Systems

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MPWR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 31st 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Monolithic Power Systems.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Monolithic Power Systems would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 171% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 13% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Monolithic Power Systems' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Monolithic Power Systems' P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Monolithic Power Systems currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Monolithic Power Systems that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Monolithic Power Systems. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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