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What Sterling Check Corp.'s (NASDAQ:STER) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 14, 2023 05:07

Sterling Check Corp. (NASDAQ:STER) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 8.2% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Sterling Check's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Professional Services industry is similar at about 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Sterling Check

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:STER Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 14th 2023

What Does Sterling Check's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Sterling Check's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Sterling Check will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sterling Check?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Sterling Check's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.5%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 59% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.9% during the coming year according to the ten analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 6.8% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Sterling Check's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Sterling Check's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

When you consider that Sterling Check's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Sterling Check with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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