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Dongxing Securities' (SHSE:601198) Three-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders

Dongxing Securities' (SHSE:601198) Three-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders

東興證券(上海證券交易所代碼:601198)的三年收益下降轉化爲股東的虧損
Simply Wall St ·  01/25 20:50

One simple way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. But in any given year a good portion of stocks will fall short of that. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Dongxing Securities Corporation Limited (SHSE:601198) shareholders, since the share price is down 30% in the last three years, less than the market decline of around 26%.

從市場上漲中獲益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。但是在任何一年中,很大一部分股票都將低於這個水平。不幸的是,東興證券股份有限公司(SHSE: 601198)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了30%,低於26%左右的市場跌幅。

While the stock has risen 3.2% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

儘管該股在過去一週上漲了3.2%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,但讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。

See our latest analysis for Dongxing Securities

查看我們對東興證券的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the three years that the share price fell, Dongxing Securities' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 35% each year. In comparison the 11% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 58.42.

在股價下跌的三年中,東興證券的每股收益(EPS)每年下降35%。相比之下,11%的複合年股價下跌幅度沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。因此,目前市場可能不太擔心每股收益的數字,或者此前可能已經將部分下跌定價了。這種積極情緒也反映在58.42的慷慨市盈率上。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601198 Earnings Per Share Growth January 26th 2024
上海證券交易所:601198 每股收益增長 2024 年 1 月 26 日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Dongxing Securities' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得一看我們關於東興證券收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Dongxing Securities the TSR over the last 3 years was -26%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,東興證券過去3年的股東總回報率爲-26%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Dongxing Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 6.4% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 20%. Given the total loss of 1.9% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Dongxing Securities (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但東興證券的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的6.4%的虧損沒有20%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。鑑於五年來每年的總損失爲1.9%,在過去的十二個月中,回報率似乎有所下降。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該了解我們在東興證券發現的4個警告信號(包括一個不太適合我們的信號)。

Of course Dongxing Securities may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,東興證券可能不是最值得購買的股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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