Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Konka Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000016) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Konka Group
What Is Konka Group's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Konka Group had CN¥21.7b of debt in June 2022, down from CN¥25.9b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥5.93b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥15.8b.
SZSE:000016 Debt to Equity History September 15th 2022
How Strong Is Konka Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Konka Group had liabilities of CN¥17.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥11.3b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.93b and CN¥8.86b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥14.1b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥10.2b, we think shareholders really should watch Konka Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Konka Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Konka Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 19%, to CN¥44b. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Konka Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥3.1b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CN¥4.9b in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Konka Group (3 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
馬克斯説得很好,他不是擔心股價波動,而是我擔心的是永久虧損的可能性……我認識的每個實際投資者都擔心。當你考察一家公司的風險有多大時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因為當一家企業倒閉時,債務往往會涉及到它。我們注意到康佳集團有限公司。(SZSE:000016)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。
什麼時候債務是個問題?
當一家企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他債務就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。最終,如果公司不能履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所有地離開。儘管這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債累累的公司永久性地稀釋股東的權益,因為貸款人迫使他們以令人沮喪的價格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水平。
查看我們對康佳集團的最新分析
康佳集團的淨負債是多少?
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數據,但它顯示康佳集團在2022年6月的債務為人民幣217億元,低於一年前的人民幣259億元。然而,它確實有59.3億加元的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨債務約為158億加元。
深交所:000016債轉股歷史2022年9月15日
康佳集團的資產負債表有多強勁?
從最近的資產負債表可以看出,康佳集團有177億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期,還有113億元人民幣的負債在一年內到期。另一方面,一年內有59.3億加元現金和88.6億加元應收賬款到期。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和141億元。
鑑於這一赤字實際上高於該公司102億元的市值,我們認為股東們真的應該關注康佳集團的債務水平,就像父母第一次看孩子騎車一樣。假設,如果該公司被迫通過以當前股價籌集資金來償還債務,將需要極大的稀釋。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為康佳集團需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果你熱衷於瞭解更多關於它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的長期收益趨勢圖。
去年,康佳集團息税前虧損,收入縮水19%,至人民幣440億元。這不是我們希望看到的。
告誡買入者
康佳集團不僅在過去12個月中收入下滑,而且息税前收益(EBIT)也出現了負增長。事實上,在息税前利潤水平上,它損失了非常可觀的人民幣31億元。考慮到上面提到的債務,讓我們對公司感到緊張。它需要迅速改善運營,才能讓我們對它感興趣。尤其是因為它在去年消耗了49億元人民幣的負自由現金流。這意味着它在事情中處於危險的一邊。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現康佳集團的4個警示標誌(3個有點令人擔憂!)在這裏投資之前你應該意識到這一點。
總而言之,有時候專注於甚至不需要債務的公司會更容易。讀者可以訪問淨債務為零的成長型股票列表100%免費,現在。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。