$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ In the five weeks that Alibaba began to bottom out, there were three weeks of net capital inflows, with a cumulative net inflow of 546 million US dollars, and two weeks of net outflow, net outflow of 142 million US dollars, net inflow minus net outflow. The balance was 403 million US dollars (calculated based on an average transaction price of 75) shares, which means that about 53 million shares (calculated based on an average transaction price of 75) were bought and not sold. Most of them were bought on May 15, in the 85-90 range. Based on the above analysis, it can be seen that the main players have not left the market, and more than half of the positions (calculated at an average price of 85 million, about 36 million) have a holding cost of more than 85. The decline in the last week is likely to be the main players washing their positions and removing short-term profit chips. Last week, the company announced the issuance of 5 billion US dollars of convertible bonds to repurchase shares. On Friday, both Hong Kong stocks and US stocks showed net capital inflows, ending the pullback and stabilizing. With this, repurchases are beneficial, and the market is likely to continue to rise in the future. After stabilizing back on the 100-week EMA and the 120-week EMA of 88, the stock price will surely open up space and hit the integer marks 90, 95, and 100 upward. (My humble opinion does not constitute investment advice; it is for reference only.)

$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ The pullback has finally come to an end, and the volume has increased at least twice as much as the average daily volume. There is a shift from a net outflow of capital to a net inflow. Next week, it is likely that the offensive will continue to rise, reversing losses and returning to the 100-week EMA of 85 and the 120-week EMA of 88.

$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ After experiencing an upward trend that began on April 19, the stock price reached a high of 90.46 from a low point of 68.36 last Friday, May 17. This week, after a deep pullback to the 80 line, it is predicted that next week, borrowing convertible bonds will return to the upward trend. There is a possibility that it will rise again at 88 and break through 90.

$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ $Alibaba(BABA.US)$ Breaking down the 5-day EMA of 86.12 and the 100-week EMA of 85, stepping back on the 10-day EMA at 83.3 for support, rising the relay pullback. If we can return to the 5-day EMA, the 100-week EMA of 85, and the 120-week EMA of 88 this week or next week, this pullback may be the last chance to get on the bus below 90!

$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ $Alibaba(BABA.US)$ The best time to buy Alibaba stock should first be when it stood on the downward trend line for 5 consecutive days, that is, 75-80 from April 26 to May 2. After the second May 14 earnings report, it pulled back to 77-80. Now it is at 85 for 100 weeks and 88 for 120 weeks. It should be the third time to buy it; it should not be too late. If it can break through the 150-week average price of 101 in the short term, the rise may accelerate and there is plenty of room for improvement. Breaking through the pre-100 short-term resistance level may be 90,95. Currently, the 200-day average price is 137.8, and the resistance levels after breaking through 100 may be 110, 120, 130, or 105, 115, and 125.

$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ $Alibaba(BABA.US)$ Net capital inflows for three consecutive days since May 15 (Wednesday) were 1.65, 2.80, and 110 million, respectively. The stock price has broken through the 120-week average price of 88, and the market is bullish later. It is expected to continue to break through 90, 95, 100 next week.

$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ $Alibaba(BABA.US)$ Today's net capital inflow exceeds 150 million US dollars. This is also the first net inflow since May 8. Yesterday's net outflow was 150 million. Previously, there was a net inflow of 106 million on February 6. Other than today, there has been no net inflow of more than 100 million in a single day since February 7. An oversized order bought more than 80 million yuan, which is twice as much as an oversized order that sold more than 40 million. A small order bought $250 million and sold for $170 million. Suspected institutions and retail investors are all bullish; the future market is bullish!

$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ The $Alibaba (BABA.US) $200 daily EMA is equivalent to a 40-week EMA and a 10-month EMA. I personally experience that the 200-day EMA is important in determining the mid-term trend reversal. It may be a key resistance level during consolidation. After breaking through, it indicates the establishment of an upward trend. For example, BABA's current trend - breaking through the 79 resistance level of the 200-day EMA to form an upward trend. The downtrend may be a key support level for trend reversal. For example, $Pinduoduo (PDD.US) $ received strong support near the 200-day EMA of 110 in late April after announcing financial reports in March, and then began a strong rebound. Currently, the stock price has stabilized above 135. After the rebound breaks through, the resistance level will become an important support level. For example, PDD's resistance levels of 120, 125, and 130 in April will all become future support levels. If BABA's rebound continues after earnings reports, the 75, 80, and 85 early resistance levels will become important support levels.

$Alibaba(BABA.US)$ It has returned to the 200-day EMA. The market is bullish in the future. If it can break through the recent high of 82.2 before next Tuesday's earnings report, we can expect to see 85 before the earnings report. If the financial report is favorable, the 120-week average price may rise to 88 and the 150-week average price of 101.9.