The war is still here
I've been watching the military sector for a long time because I'm worried about war. Had it before $Lockheed Martin(LMT.US$ with $RTX Corp(RTX.US$ Due to falling below the stop loss, although the position was not cleared, the position has already been drastically reduced.
The war came after all. A few powder kegs were initially speculated: Serbia, Israel, North Korea, Taiwan. It also makes sense that the conflict between Palestine and Israel took the lead. The opening of military stocks, which continued to decline, also ushered in a wave of sharp increases. However, it only went up to the price I cut meat in the first place. I bought it back now and didn't lose anything.
Moreover, no one can predict when this kind of thing will happen.
I looked at a few military stocks before the market, then combined the technical side and chose $General Dynamics(GD.US$ Currently, it only holds this military stock, with a 5% position. If there is a backlash later, use technical trends as the only reference, choose this one from NOC, LMT, and GD, and increase the position by 5%. The target price is to break the profit in batches after breaking through the previous high.
Technology stocks. My current first position is $Meta Platforms(META.US$ , 10% of the position. Mainly from $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$ It came from a change of warehouse. Since Xiaoza stopped being addicted to the metaverse and switched to an open source AI platform, my attitude towards this stock has also reversed. Stay bullish as long as it doesn't fall below last Friday's low.
The second is $ASML Holding(ASML.US$ . Among the many chip stocks, I chose Asmay, which has the best defense. Currently, my position is 6%, and if it continues to fall, it will add another 4%. Other chip stocks will not be considered for the time being.
Only then did energy stocks enter a downward trend; at this point, I'm afraid they will reverse again. I think as long as Saudi Arabia and Iran don't mix up the mess between Palestine and Israel, it will be difficult for oil prices to skyrocket. Currently holding 6% of positions $Occidental Petroleum(OXY.US$ Keep watching. The biggest concern is that oil prices are affecting the decline in inflation, causing bond interest rates to soar further. If interest rates are raised again, if ten-year treasury bonds reach 5% or more this year and stay for a year or more, the US economy will definitely have big problems. Just don't know how long it will last. 2024 should hold up. Maybe 2025 will collapse, maybe 2026-2027 will crash. Because America is a country driven by technology and consumption, there are too many unprofitable companies, and high interest rates will collapse for too long. Oil prices are high, housing prices, rents, and interest rates are high, and consumption will also collapse.
coke $Coca-Cola(KO.US$ I can't drink it anymore, so what's the next consumption to cut out?
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为富图系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。㊗️大家越来越🐮
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高贵的阿德莱德OP : Aviation stocks are really miserable. I bought the bottom of the bill before, then I lost half of it, and I still have some in my hands. It is now close to its lowest point during the pandemic, and cutting meat is impossible at this price. I can only hold on