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[Financial Results Preview] Should I buy NVIDIA, the AI emperor, before the $1,000 mark at 5:00 a.m. on the 23rd before settlement?

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moomooニュース米国株 wrote a column · May 17 08:53
This article uses automatic translation for some of its parts
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$After the end of trading hours on the 22nd (Japan time on the 23rd at 5:20 a.m.) We plan to announce financial results for FY2025 Q1.
● The data center, which is the company's most important businessIt is expected to achieve sales of 20.967 billion dollars, up 389.43% from the same period last yearIt is. As a result, it is expected that the ratio of the same business to the company's sales will continue to expand from 83% in the previous quarter to 85%.
● GS Securities analysts say that since investment in AI will continue to be at a high level in the future,NVIDIA's valuations are still cheapLooking at it, the target stock price was raised from 1,000 dollars to 1,100 dollars. HSBC also anticipated that the company's AI business outlook would be undervalued, and the target stock price was 1,350 dollars.
● According to Moomoo, the market is NVIDIASales for FY2025 Q1 are expected to increase 240.47% from the same period last year to 24.487 billion dollars, and EPS is expected to increase 532.28% from the same period last year to 5.18 dollarsIt has been done (US-GAAP).
[Financial Results Preview] Should I buy NVIDIA, the AI emperor, before the $1,000 mark at 5:00 a.m. on the 23rd before settlement?
Will NVIDIA once again exceed market expectations?
There seems to be a high possibility that NVIDIA will exceed Wall Street's expectations. This is mainly due to management's confidence in the company's data center business. The management team has shown a clear outlook on short-term sales for this business unit, thanks to large backorders driven by high demand for NVIDIA's AI-focused data center chips and products.
Also, since data centers are the company's main business and an important driving force driving overall business results, the accuracy of demand from other business divisions may be low, but there is probably no need to worry that much.
[Financial Results Preview] Should I buy NVIDIA, the AI emperor, before the $1,000 mark at 5:00 a.m. on the 23rd before settlement?
Future financial results, including NVIDIA's second quarter earnings guidance, are expected to exceed analysts' expectations, and one reason for this is that major customers are increasing their investment in AI, as seen in recent quarterly reports. In particular, $Meta Platforms(META.US)$ (Facebook parent company), $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US)$ $Microsoft(MSFT.US)$Companies like these have greatly stepped up their AI efforts, which is a good sign for the company.
For example, Meta adjusted its capital expenditure forecast for the full year 2024 to 35 million to 40 million dollars, increasing it from the previous forecast of 30 million to 37 million dollars. The reason for this increase is that investment in AI infrastructure has accelerated, as stated by Susan Li, Chief Financial Officer (CFO) at the company's first quarter financial results briefing.
Wall Street analysts say NVIDIA stocks are still undervalued
$Goldman Sachs(GS.US)$ Analysts said that since investment in AI will continue to be at a high level in the future,NVIDIA's valuations are still cheapLooking at it, the target stock price was raised from 1,000 dollars to 1,100 dollars.
Goldman Sachs $Microsoft(MSFT.US)$ $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US)$ $Amazon(AMZN.US)$ $Meta Platforms(META.US)$The capital investment amount of the four tech companies in the cloud this year reached 177 billion dollars, which greatly exceeds 119 billion dollars last year, and it is expected that it will continue to increase to 1950 billion dollars in 2025.
The bank believes that these investments will be the driving force behind NVIDIA's continuous increase in sales and profit, and will particularly support the launch of the next-generation AI chip “Blackwell” later this year.
$HSBC Holdings(HSBC.US)$Also, the company's AI business outlook was expected to be undervalued, and the target stock price was set at $1,350.
HSBC stated that NVIDIA will continue to show strong competitiveness with the NVL36/NVL72 server system and GB200 processor platform. The bank predicts that Wall Street will be shocked by the company's performance over the next year, despite the sharp rise in stock prices.
Analysts at the same bank expect NVIDIA's sales for the first quarter of the fiscal year to reach 26 billion dollars, exceeding guidance previously given by the company and Wall Street's general expectations. He also predicts that NVIDIA's second-quarter revenue will reach 28 billion dollars, which also exceeds market expectations of 26.48 billion dollars.
Should I buy before closing?
In the past 4 financial results reports, NVIDIA has consistently surpassed forecasts, and investors expect this pattern to continue. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US)$ Ya $Intel(INTC.US)$ Despite the progress of rivals such as $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ It maintains a major advantage in the GPU (graphics processing unit) market and has secured approximately 80% of the global market share. These chips are used in AI (artificial intelligence) applications, enhancing NVIDIA's superiority.
NVDA has surpassed market expectations in 18 of the past 20 financial results.
[Financial Results Preview] Should I buy NVIDIA, the AI emperor, before the $1,000 mark at 5:00 a.m. on the 23rd before settlement?
Risk that stock prices will fall due to anxiety about the semiconductor market
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$There was also a period of sluggish growth since the stock price recorded a high listing price (950.02 dollars) on 3/25, and it fell from the high listing price to 762 dollars, which is 19.79% lower, on 4/19.
The day before, anxiety about the outlook for semiconductor demand intensified, $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)$The outlook for the semiconductor market in 2024 shown by has been revised downward from the forecast as of January. NVIDIA's total revenue is expected to continue to increase by more than 2-3 times compared to the same period last year for 4 consecutive quarters after the 2023/5/7 fiscal year, but it is not always possible to maintain this pace indefinitely.
Therefore, in this financial results announcement, the focus will be on what kind of outlook is shown for the May-July fiscal year, which is full of rapid growth.
-MOOMOO NEWS ZEBER
Source: Bloomberg, SeekingAlpha, Investopedia, QUARTZ, MorningStar, Yahoo Finance, tastylive, The Motley Fool
This article uses automatic translation for some of its parts
[Financial Results Preview] Should I buy NVIDIA, the AI emperor, before the $1,000 mark at 5:00 a.m. on the 23rd before settlement?
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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