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February CPI is a little high: Will rates come down in March?
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Enduring US Inflation: A Long Way to Rate Cuts? [Learn Premium Weekly Review]

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Invest With Cici joined discussion · Mar 15 05:58
Enduring US Inflation: A Long Way to Rate Cuts? [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
🌐 CPI & PPI Exceed Forecasts, Highlighting Persistent US Inflation
On Tuesday of this week, the U.S. released its February CPI data. After the unexpected rise in January's CPI caused a sharp drop in the US stock market that day, the February CPI data caught the market's attention.

According to the data, the core CPI has reached the highest growth rate in eight months, once again exceeding market expectations. On the second day after the unexpected CPI increase, the US February PPI also signaled a continuation of inflation with a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, higher than expected, and the core PPI holding steady at a 2.0% increase, the same as January, failing to slow down to the anticipated 1.9%. This further underscores the stubborn nature of inflation in the US.

Some comments suggest that this week's CPI and PPI data encapsulate the situation in the US for February: persistent high inflation and signs of weakening growth in certain economic sectors. According to futures market traders, the most likely time for a rate cut remains June, but the tenacity of high inflation may prompt the Federal Reserve to reassess the pace of rate cuts. Some signals on this could emerge from the Fed's interest rate decision in March next week. 🔍
Enduring US Inflation: A Long Way to Rate Cuts? [Learn Premium Weekly Review]

🔥NVIDIA's GTC Upcoming, Will A Rebound Next Week?
Nvidia's GTC (GPU Tech Conference) is set to take place next week, with CEO Jensen Huang scheduled to give a talk titled "Shaping the Future of AI Breakthroughs, Witnessing the Moment of AI Transformation." It's expected to feature updates on generative AI and robotics, sparking high anticipation on Wall Street.

Statistics show that during the annual GTC events over the past seven years, NVIDIA's stock price rose on six occasions, equating to an 85.7% probability of an increase! Considering NVIDIA's stock is currently at a critical juncture with continuous battles around the $900 mark, the upcoming GTC could significantly influence short-term trends.
Enduring US Inflation: A Long Way to Rate Cuts? [Learn Premium Weekly Review]

🔥 Adobe and AI: Boon or Bane?
After hours on Thursday, $Adobe(ADBE.US)$ a US multinational computer software company released its 2024 first-quarter financial report, which shows its first-quarter revenue and adjusted EPS both beat expectations. However, its Q2 guidance was slightly lower than expected, leading to an after-hours drop of more than 11%.

Comments suggest that Adobe's lower-than-expected guidance is due to the intensification of the AI competition landscape. Back at the beginning of 2023, the rise of early AI image generators such as Dall-E kept Adobe in the doldrums. However, Adobe also launched its own AI tool, Firefly, in March, and since its launch, Adobe's stock price has rebounded, rising by 77% within the year.

Similarly, the announcement of Open AI's Sora text-to-video tool in February of this year compounded Adobe's challenges and further weakened its stock price. So far this year, Adobe's stock price is down 4%, worse than the 8% performance of the $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ over the same period.

Despite this, analysts still rate the Adobe stock a "buy." On the one hand, AI models are far from being able to generate perfect content and cannot completely replace traditional video creation tools such as Adobe's core products. On the other hand, Adobe, which is deeply involved in the image and video creation industry, is also developing new AI products and models to drive the development of its own business.
Enduring US Inflation: A Long Way to Rate Cuts? [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
So, do you think $Adobe(ADBE.US)$ will take advantage of the AI trend to further its development? Or it will continue to be affected by the impact of AI-generated images and videos.

Premium Learn-Technical Tracking
Riding the wave of AI, global semiconductor companies, and chip giant $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US)$ has shown strong upward momentum, repeatedly hitting new records. It ascended from the 222nd to the 22nd largest company in the S&P 500 within five years. Now it's trading at a steep 50 times estimated earnings, significantly higher than Nvidia's 32 times. Although there is no obvious potential resistance to the price, selling pressures might occur as some traders lock in profits.
Enduring US Inflation: A Long Way to Rate Cuts? [Learn Premium Weekly Review]

Premium Learn-Opportunity Mining
Bitcoin breaks through $73,000, hitting a new all-time high! Its value has jumped more than 70% since the beginning of the year, which is even more impressive! The [ cryptocurrency concept ] stocks of $Coinbase(COIN.US)$, $Marathon Digital(MARA.US)$, and $MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)$ have even outperformed bitcoin itself last year.

$Coinbase(COIN.US)$ is currently the world's leading exchange for buying and selling cryptocurrency assets, and its share price rose more than 300% last year. $Marathon Digital(MARA.US)$ is the world's largest Bitcoin mining company, whose share price rose 250% in 2023, and its business model is to pursue cost efficiency through energy arbitrage. $MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)$ is primarily an enterprise software company and is also one of the world's largest holders of bitcoin-listed companies. Its bitcoin holdings account for more than half of its market value, and its stock price is up 538% over the past year.
Enduring US Inflation: A Long Way to Rate Cuts? [Learn Premium Weekly Review]
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  • Invest With CiciOP : You are welcome to share your own learning experience this week in the comments section. Search for “Learn premium” to join the official learning exchange group to get timely hotspots and quality learning materials!undefined

  • RDK79 : We’ve gotten to the point, from media and chaos desires, that ‘inflation’ of any % is bad. So sad.