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EUR/HKD News
Ifo Lifts German Economic Growth Forecast for 2024 as Consumer Spending Recovers
The ifo Institute on Thursday raised its economic growth estimate for Germany in 2024, citing the expected rebound in consumer spending as inflation continues to slow.
European Central Bank committee member Vitor Constancio is optimistic: if inflation continues to cool, further interest rate cuts may be possible.
In the European Central Bank's latest statement, Commissioner Mario Centeno revealed a positive outlook on monetary policy.
Euro Trades Higher on the Day, Eyeing 1.0750 – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is modestly higher on Tuesday's session, reflecting a mild narrowing in 10Y OAT/Bund spreads. The gap remains relatively significant (75bps), however, as tensions in the Eurozone persist, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
ECB Vice President Guindos: Quarterly Forecast Meeting Will Be Key for Major Interest Rate Decisions.
Vice President of the European Central Bank, Luis de Guindos, hinted that the quarterly forecast meeting will be a key decision for interest rates. This decision maker suggested that meetings to prepare forecasts in September and December may be crucial. "Forecasts are updated every three months, and the next one is in September," Guindos said. "This is one of the most important and interesting moments because forecassts are an important indicator of how interest rates will evolve." His speech is consistent with the views of other decision makers who do not want to cut interest rates further at the July meeting. "The medium-term direction is clear, but in the short term, it will depend on the data," he said.
German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index Edges Higher to 47.5 in June Vs. 50.0 Expected
The headline German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index edges a tad higher from 47.1 in May to 47.5 in June. The market consensus was for a 50.0 print.
EUR Keeps Afloat Amid ECB Comments – Scotiabank
European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers indicated that the French situation is “contained”, allowing the Euro (EUR) to float above 1.07, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
European Central Bank's chief economist is confident that inflation will fall back to 2% in the second half of next year.
Zhijun Finance learned from the app that Philip Lane, Chief Economist of the European Central Bank, said in an interview on Monday local time that the European Central Bank is confident that the inflation rate will fall back to the target value of 2% next year, although there will inevitably be some "noisy" inflation rate data in the process. "We have great confidence in the inflation target for the second half of next year," Lane said in a media interview on Monday at the London Stock Exchange. "So we must carefully interpret the economic data we receive, but try to distinguish between noise and key signals." In the interview with the Chief of the European Central Bank...
Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department: In the first quarter, the total income of Hong Kong residents increased by 9.6% year-on-year to 831 billion Hong Kong dollars.
In the first quarter of 2024, the total income of Hong Kong local residents (referring to the total income earned by Hong Kong residents through various economic activities) calculated at the then market price increased by 9.6% to HKD 831 billion, compared to the same period last year.
ECB's Lane: Seeing Significant Wage Increases in Some Countries
European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Phillip Lane noted on Monday that they are seeing significant wage increases in some Eurozone countries, per Reuters.
European Central Bank Committee Member Vujcic: Interest rates may be lowered in September only if inflation improves.
Boris Vujcic, the Governor of the Croatian National Bank and member of the ECB, stated that if inflation is to improve, they would like to reduce interest rates in September.
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited has proposed five policy recommendations to promote the dual growth of liquidity and efficiency in Hong Kong's capital markets.
According to the Zhongtong Finance APP, on June 17th, Hong Kong's Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau released a research report entitled "Promoting Dual Growth of Liquidity and Efficiency: Optimizing Hong Kong's Securities Trading Mechanism and Market Operations".
Inflation Must Improve for ECB Cut in September, Vujcic Says
An interest-rate cut in September would require an improvement in the European Central Bank’s inflation outlook, according to Governing Council member Boris Vujcic.
ECB's Kazaks Says Must Not Allow Inflation to Remain Above 2% Into 2026
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martins Kazaks said on Sunday that the bank must not allow inflation to remain above 2% into 2026, adding that he is concerned about delays beyond this.
ECB Executive Board member Kazaks: If inflation data is good, will support the market's expectation of ECB interest rate cuts.
On Friday, Martin Kazaks, a member of the European Central Bank's committee, stated that if inflation continues to slow down as expected, the ECB may continue to lower interest rates in line with market expectations.
Ifo predicts: The European Cup may drive Germany's Q2 economic growth by 0.1%.
According to data from the Ifo Institute, the month-long European football championship that opened in Germany on Friday is expected to boost the German economy by 0.1% in the second quarter. In a report, Ifo researcher Gerome Wolf said: 'However, this impact will only be temporary, which means that due to the return of tourists after the end of the 2024 European Cup, German service exports may decline again in the third quarter, overall unchanged.' Ifo said that large-scale sports events usually have 'relatively small effects, except for the tourism industry,' and compared it to the 2 held in Germany.
Hong Kong's High Interest Rates May Persist Due to Uncertainty of Fed Rate Cuts
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority said high interest rates may remain for some time as it is uncertain when the US Federal Reserve will cut its interest rates, according to a Thursday press release by
ECB's Vasle: Possible for More Rate Cuts If Baseline Scenario Holds
The European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Bostjan Vasle said on Thursday, it is “possible for more rate cuts if baseline scenario holds.”
The baseline scenario of ECB Governing Council member Vasle points to further interest rate cuts within this year in Europe.
Bostjan Vasle, a member of the European Central Bank's Governing Council, said there is a possibility of further interest rate cuts if the bank's expectations of a further slowdown in inflation become a reality. "If the baseline scenario becomes a reality and the data is ideal, then we may expect interest rates to continue to be cut over the next two years," said Vasle, who is also the governor of the Central Bank of Slovenia, in an interview with Finance. "Otherwise, it is wise to take further action at a later time." Last week, the European Central Bank lowered borrowing costs by 25 basis points but also raised its inflation forecast for 2024 and 2025. This decision has caused investors...
Chung Yuan Mortgage: The interest rate reduction cycle in Hong Kong may start from the end of this year to the first quarter of next year.
Wang Meifeng said that the interest rate reduction cycle in Hong Kong has the opportunity to start from the end of this year to the first quarter of next year, and then the interest rate in Hong Kong may fall to 4% or below.
European Central Bank Committee: Core inflation in the euro zone is still very challenging.
European Central Bank Executive Board member Nowotny stated that the potential consumer price index growth in the Eurozone is proving to be stubborn.