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Strong growth in energy storage demand is driving a shift, with analysts suggesting that the lithium carbonate industry's turnaround cycle may arrive sooner than expected.
① According to the UNCTAD's June Global Trade Update, global lithium demand is projected to grow by 353% and graphite demand by 131% between 2024 and 2040. ② Shenwan Hongyuan notes that, driven by surging demand for energy storage, the turnaround cycle in the lithium carbonate industry is arriving earlier than expected.
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Divergence in Lithium Battery Performance: Profit Growth of Over Tenfold for Multiple Upstream Material Manufacturers, but Energy Storage Leader Admits Gradual Decline in Gross Margin is the Norm
①The year-on-year growth of the attributable net profit of multiple leading enterprises in the upstream sector has exceeded tenfold, whereas several second-tier power battery enterprises and energy storage segment companies have experienced a decline in gross margins; ②The rise in lithium carbonate prices has put pressure on the gross margin of energy storage systems. Enterprises have stated that they have established a price linkage mechanism with downstream end customers to share the cost pressure from rising raw material prices; ③Analysts believe that after lithium prices stabilize, the profit elasticity of upstream companies will narrow, creating cost relief for midstream manufacturers.
Stock movements in the Hong Kong market | Lithium battery-related stocks showed strong performance, with multiple companies releasing impressive quarterly reports. Industry production is expected to continue rising in May.
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