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AMC Stock Looks Like a Bust as Insiders Start Heading Toward the Exit

AMC Stock Looks Like a Bust as Insiders Start Heading Toward the Exit

AMC股票看起來像是一場崩盤,內部人士開始走向退出
InvestorPlace ·  2022/02/23 06:06

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An unorthodox trading strategy to take advantage of a major short move in AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) stock sparked a near-perfect rally in January 2021.

一種非正統的交易策略,以利用市場上的重大空頭交易AMC娛樂公司紐約證券交易所(NYSE:AMC)股票在2021年1月引發了近乎完美的反彈。

Source: viewimage / Shutterstock.com
來源:viewimage/Shutterstock.com

AMC is a good example of how stocks like this will still maintain their value in the face of potential headwinds when they have Reddit support.

AMC就是一個很好的例子,説明這樣的股票在有Reddit支持的情況下,如何在潛在的逆風中仍然保持自己的價值。

The mistake that AMC investors might make is believing in the durability of the stock with blind faith. AMC does have some red flags that may cause investors some concern. However, the firm has done a lot of good lately and should be more than worth your investment.

AMC投資者可能犯的錯誤是盲目相信股票的持久性。AMC確實有一些危險信號,可能會引起投資者的一些擔憂。然而,這家公司最近做了很多好事,應該比你的投資更值得。

As an investor, you may lose money on your stocks. You should assess if this is a risk you are willing to take. AMC is perhaps one of the riskiest stocks out there.

作為投資者,你的股票可能會賠錢。你應該評估一下這是不是你願意冒的風險。AMC可能是風險最高的股票之一。

With such high uncertainty, there's little chance that AMC can sustain its profits over time and maintain an inflated market cap as well, which means you may see more people leave or sell their shares due to fear rather than believe again soon enough.

在如此高的不確定性下,AMC幾乎不可能隨着時間的推移維持其利潤,同時保持膨脹的市值,這意味着你可能會看到更多的人因為恐懼而離開或出售他們的股票,而不是很快再次相信。

If you're looking to invest in the stock market, I strongly consider avoiding this company. The recent price drop is not an invitation for people who want a big reward quickly. Instead, it's just another sign that they might be headed down a less-than-ideal path.

如果你想投資股票市場,我強烈建議你避開這家公司。最近的價格下跌並不是對那些希望迅速獲得高額回報的人的邀請。相反,這只是另一個跡象,表明他們可能正走上一條不太理想的道路。

AMC Will Live to Fight Another Day, But at a Cost

AMC將活到另一天,但要付出代價

Revenue for the movie theatre chain disappeared when the pandemic came in 2020. The debt levels were extremely high and looming bankruptcy became a real possibility.

當2020年大流行到來時,這家連鎖影院的收入消失了。債務水平非常高,迫在眉睫的破產成為了現實的可能性。

People are making notable profits in "Meme stocks" this year for a good reason. It's easy to invest in them too.

人們今年在“Meme股票”中獲得了可觀的利潤,這是有充分理由的。投資它們也很容易。

Average Joes who don't want to deal with the risk of traditional investments are turning to these companies instead – and they're doing well. Reddit investors maintain the company will never go down — their faith allows them to continuously ride on the success of "the meme stock movement" that has kept this firm's shares value high and thriving.

那些不想承擔傳統投資風險的普通喬伊們正在轉向這些公司--他們做得很好。Reddit的投資者堅稱,公司永遠不會倒閉--他們的信念讓他們能夠繼續利用“表情包股票運動”的成功,這場運動使公司的股票價值保持在高位並蓬勃發展。

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With the new majority owners of this company being small retail investors, it was important to innovate and keep up with trends. One way they did that is by accepting cryptocurrency payments on movie tickets. They also got into non-fungible tokens (NFTs), offering 86,000 Spider-Man NFTs.

由於這家公司的新多數股東是小型散户投資者,創新和跟上潮流是很重要的。他們做到這一點的一種方式是接受電影票的加密貨幣支付。他們還推出了不可替代代幣(NFT),提供了8.6萬個蜘蛛俠NFT。

When its stock price is diluted, it becomes less valuable for shareholders because the investor loses power when dilution occurs.

當其股價被稀釋時,它對股東的價值就會降低,因為當稀釋發生時,投資者就會失去權力。

Shareholders view this as negative and prefer to have more of it instead of less. In addition, with the increased number of shareholders coming into the picture, their percentage of ownership over the company is shrinking.

股東們認為這是負面的,他們更願意持有更多,而不是更少。此外,隨着越來越多的股東加入進來,他們對公司的所有權百分比正在縮小。

Therefore, the company cannot immediately jump to new stock offerings every time it is in trouble.

因此,該公司不能在每次陷入困境時都立即跳轉到新股發行。

Spider-Man Saves the Day for Movie Theaters

蜘蛛俠拯救了電影院的一天

Investors need to figure out whether a stock remains undervalued or not. The longer they wait, the harder it will be to determine what's going on and whether it's justified or not.

投資者需要弄清楚一隻股票是否仍被低估。他們等待的時間越長,就越難確定發生了什麼,以及它是否合理。

If something seems too good to be true, the odds are that it is exactly what it is, and the price will revert towards its previous fundamental value.

如果某件事看起來好得令人難以置信,很有可能它就是它的本來面目,價格將恢復到它之前的基本面價值。

As soon as the closing bell rang on Nov. 8, investors were shocked by third-quarter earnings. A net loss of 44 cents beat the consensus estimate and shattered expectations. Revenue jumped 539% and crushed the year-ago sales figures.

11月8日收盤鐘聲一響,投資者就對第三季度的收益感到震驚。淨虧損44美分,超出了普遍預期,也超出了預期。營收躍升539%,打破了一年前的銷售數據。

Liquidity held steady at $1.8 billion for Q3 and provided the company with ample funds to take steps that could reduce its financial leverage. They are undoubtedly relieved about this, as it helps them feel more confident throughout periods of economic hardship.

第三季度流動性穩定在18億美元,為該公司提供了充足的資金,以採取措施降低財務槓桿。這無疑讓他們鬆了一口氣,因為這有助於他們在經濟困難時期感到更有信心。

Millions of fans have embraced Spider-Man: No Way Home worldwide. It's brought in more than $1.74 billion in box office revenue, too becoming one of Marvel Studios' most successful films to date.

數以百萬計的粉絲已經接受了蜘蛛俠:沒有回家的路全世界。它帶來了超過17.4億美元的票房收入,也成為漫威電影公司迄今為止最成功的電影之一。

You can sometimes get a bump in your share of the revenue based on clout. Even so, when you consider the conservative estimate of only 40% being split among theaters, that probably provides a lot of moolah to be made off Spider-Man. Therefore, revenue for the last quarter is expected to remain strong.

根據影響力,你有時可以從收入中分得一杯羹。即便如此,當你考慮到保守的估計只有40%在不同的影院之間平分時,這可能提供了很多可以從蜘蛛俠身上賺到的錢。因此,預計上個季度的營收將保持強勁。

Fundamentals Do Not Bail Out AMC Stock

基本面不會拯救AMC股票

Though AMC stock was down in the past few months, it currently has an extremely overvalued value and will likely see a major dent soon.

儘管AMC的股價在過去幾個月裏有所下降,但它目前的估值極高,可能很快就會大幅下挫。

Even if the company looks like it will survive for now, factors such as disruption caused by streaming and studios looking for new ways to survive without theaters could mean the company falls into further issues soon enough.

即使該公司目前看起來能夠生存下來,但流媒體和製片廠尋找新的方式在沒有影院的情況下生存所造成的破壞等因素,可能意味着該公司很快就會陷入進一步的問題。

The performances of other titles indicate a lagging ability for the industry to draw moviegoers out as they once did, with films like Spider-Man keeping exhibitors afloat.

其他影片的表現表明,該行業像以前那樣吸引觀眾的能力落後,比如蜘蛛俠維持參展商的生存。

There are a lot of good movies coming out, and several promising new releases have started shaping up. But the recent moviegoing behavior indicates Spider-Man was an anomaly and not part of a trend. Hence, even though AMC got great news with the release of the hit movie, it's not the reason to buy its stock.

有很多好電影上映,幾部前景看好的新片已經開始成形。但最近的觀影行為表明蜘蛛俠是一種反常現象,而不是趨勢的一部分。因此,儘管AMC在這部熱門電影的上映中獲得了好消息,但這並不是買入其股票的理由。

It Is a Bust for AMC Stock

這是AMC股票的一次崩盤

It's difficult to say whether people will return to the pre-pandemic entertainment habits of the past. The omicron variant has started spreading. It may become hard for theaters in outbreak areas like New York City or Los Angeles.

很難説人們是否會回到大流行前的娛樂習慣。奧密克戎的變體已經開始傳播。對於紐約市或洛杉磯等疫情爆發地區的影院來説,這可能會變得困難。

Despite not having the funds to maintain a successful business, theaters need to spend money on staff, food and utility. They must continually invest in new initiatives as well to make a profit.

儘管沒有資金維持一項成功的業務,但影院需要在員工、食物和公用事業上花錢。他們還必須不斷投資於新的舉措,才能盈利。

AMC struggled with its finances for quite a few years before the pandemic hit. It lost major amounts of cash on the bottom line in four of the past nine years.

在大流行來襲之前,AMC在財務上掙扎了好幾年。在過去九年中,有四年它在底線上損失了大量現金。

AMC's fixed costs make it difficult for the company to turn a profit, as they may be dealing with losses for years partly because of this.

AMC的固定成本使該公司很難實現盈利,因為他們可能會因此而面臨多年的虧損。

Insiders are leading the way in the sell-off of AMC stock. Investors should follow the lead of these executives and sell their shares to profit. The decline in the value of these shares is unlikely to let up.

內部人士在拋售AMC股票方面走在了前列。投資者應該跟隨這些高管的腳步,拋售他們的股票獲利。這些股票的價值下跌不太可能停止。

On the publication date, Faizan Farooque did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版日期,法贊·法魯克(Faizan Faroque)並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南的約束。

Faizan Farooque is a contributing author for InvestorPlace.com and numerous other financial sites. Faizan has several years of experience in analyzing the stock market and was a former data journalist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. You can check out his work on InvestorPlace and TipRanks.

費贊·法魯克(Faizan Faroque)是InvestorPlace.com以及眾多其他財經網站。法伊贊在股市分析方面有數年經驗,曾在標準普爾全球市場情報公司擔任數據記者。你可以在InvestorPlace和TipRanks上查看他的工作。

The post AMC Stock Looks Like a Bust as Insiders Start Heading Toward the Exit appeared first on InvestorPlace.

AMC發佈的股票看起來像是一場泡沫,因為內部人士開始走向退出,最先出現在InvestorPlace上。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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