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盘前:7月PPI将公布 道指期货涨0.1%

Pre-market: PPI will announce that Dow futures are up 0.1% in July

新浪財經 ·  Aug 12, 2021 08:20

U. S. stock index futures rose slightly before trading on Thursday, and today, the market focused on the U. S. PPI, as well as the latest jobless claims report.

As of press time, Dow futures are up 0.1%, S & P 500 futures are up 0.1%, and Nasdaq futures are up 0.03%.

The FTSE 100th index in the UK rose 0.2 per cent, Germany's DAX index rose 0.2 per cent and France's CAC-40 index rose 0.3 per cent.

The dollar is still trading below the 93 mark, while G10 currencies such as euro and pound fluctuate in a narrow range.

Spot gold rose strongly yesterday due to a sharp fall in the dollar, and is now around 1750 on Thursday, holding on to overnight gains, with the biggest one-day percentage gain since May 6 on Wednesday.

Treasury yields fell in early trading on Thursday, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell nearly 2 basis points to 1.341%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury note fell 1 basis point to 1.991 per cent.

In recent weeks, as the economy has opened up, there has been unease about runaway US inflation. However, some banks are now turning their attention to liquidity.

The debate about inflation is wrong because it is well within the Fed's expectations. Yes, wage pressure is permanent, but that's the crux of the problem. " Said Sebastien Galy, senior macro strategist at Nordea.

What matters is what happens once liquidity starts to contract for a while under tightening, which is both a fear and an opportunity. Our account of long-term growth, especially the mode of growth, is not sustainable in the long run. "

PPI will be announced at 08:30 Beijing time in July. The index tracks changes in the prices of the goods they produce and serves as a more indirect measure of inflation.

On Wednesday, the consumer price index for July, which tracks the increase in the price of goods and services people buy, showed that core inflation rose 4.3% last year. This marks a slight slowdown in price growth compared with 4.5 per cent in June.

Treasury yields fell after the core CPI data, suggesting it calmed investor concerns about possible persistent inflationary pressures and prompted the Fed to tighten monetary policy earlier than expected.

In addition to rising inflation, the Fed is closely watching the recovery in the job market to determine when to start phasing out ultra-loose policy.

David de Garis, an analyst at NAB, wrote in a note to clients that the Fed might "get some comfort" from the CPI report. "for now, the focus is more on the pace of improvement in the job market."

De Garis said a reduction in bond purchases could be announced in November or December, but it could also be announced next month.

In addition, Brad McMillan, chief investment officer of Commonwealth Financial Network, said: "inflation has at least been suspended."

Both overall and core data are stable or down from last month's monthly and annual figures. Judging from these data, inflation is certainly not unstoppable. "

Dallas Fed Chairman Kaplan said the Fed should start withdrawing stimulus measures in October, causing yields to fall further.

"inflation is more of an isolated part than an overall rise in prices, and even these parts show signs of peaking," McMillan said. " "when we delve into these data, inflation is higher than before, but there are signs that inflation is tumbling and returning to more comfortable levels."

In addition to PPI, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits last week will also be announced at 08:30 Beijing time.

Build Asset Management's Dustin Qualley said he expected the jobless claims data to continue to decline, which would support claims of a stronger job market.

This is a more frequent indicator than employment data. "if the number of jobless claims rises unexpectedly, I am worried that the recovery will take longer than expected. An unexpected increase in employment will be good for interest rates. "

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