share_log

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FENC) 26% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  May 24 06:02

The Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:FENC) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 6.5% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Fennec Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.8x and even P/S above 67x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:FENC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 24th 2024

How Fennec Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

Fennec Pharmaceuticals certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fennec Pharmaceuticals.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fennec Pharmaceuticals would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has also set the world alight, thanks to the last 12 months of incredible growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 31% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 209% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Fennec Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Fennec Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Investors?

Fennec Pharmaceuticals' P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As expected, our analysis of Fennec Pharmaceuticals' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Fennec Pharmaceuticals has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment