share_log

Is Cavco Industries (NASDAQ:CVCO) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  May 23 12:53

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Cavco Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVCO) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Cavco Industries's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Cavco Industries had US$1.54m of debt in December 2023, down from US$4.77m, one year before. But it also has US$369.6m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$368.1m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:CVCO Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2024

How Healthy Is Cavco Industries' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cavco Industries had liabilities of US$271.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$46.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$369.6m as well as receivables valued at US$70.5m due within 12 months. So it actually has US$122.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Cavco Industries could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Cavco Industries has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that Cavco Industries's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 38% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cavco Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Cavco Industries has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Cavco Industries recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 80% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Cavco Industries has net cash of US$368.1m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$215m, being 80% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Cavco Industries's use of debt. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Cavco Industries, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment