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Here's Why We Think St. Joe (NYSE:JOE) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Simply Wall St ·  May 23 06:12

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like St. Joe (NYSE:JOE), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

How Fast Is St. Joe Growing?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. It certainly is nice to see that St. Joe has managed to grow EPS by 18% per year over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away satisfied.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. The good news is that St. Joe is growing revenues, and EBIT margins improved by 3.4 percentage points to 24%, over the last year. Both of which are great metrics to check off for potential growth.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:JOE Earnings and Revenue History May 23rd 2024

While it's always good to see growing profits, you should always remember that a weak balance sheet could come back to bite. So check St. Joe's balance sheet strength, before getting too excited.

Are St. Joe Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Insider interest in a company always sparks a bit of intrigue and many investors are on the lookout for companies where insiders are putting their money where their mouth is. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

With strong conviction, St. Joe insiders have stood united by refusing to sell shares over the last year. But more importantly, President Jorge Gonzalez spent US$55k acquiring shares, doing so at an average price of US$45.49. Purchases like this clue us in to the to the faith management has in the business' future.

Along with the insider buying, another encouraging sign for St. Joe is that insiders, as a group, have a considerable shareholding. Indeed, they hold US$45m worth of its stock. This considerable investment should help drive long-term value in the business. Despite being just 1.3% of the company, the value of that investment is enough to show insiders have plenty riding on the venture.

While insiders already own a significant amount of shares, and they have been buying more, the good news for ordinary shareholders does not stop there. That's because on our analysis the CEO, Jorge Gonzalez, is paid less than the median for similar sized companies. For companies with market capitalisations between US$2.0b and US$6.4b, like St. Joe, the median CEO pay is around US$6.7m.

The St. Joe CEO received total compensation of just US$1.8m in the year to December 2023. First impressions seem to indicate a compensation policy that is favourable to shareholders. CEO compensation is hardly the most important aspect of a company to consider, but when it's reasonable, that gives a little more confidence that leadership are looking out for shareholder interests. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.

Does St. Joe Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into St. Joe's strong EPS growth. Better still, insiders own a large chunk of the company and one has even been buying more shares. Astute investors will want to keep this stock on watch. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for St. Joe that you should be aware of.

The good news is that St. Joe is not the only stock with insider buying. Here's a list of small cap, undervalued companies in the US with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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