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Sinotrans' (HKG:598) One-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

Sinotrans' (HKG:598) One-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

中國外運(HKG: 598)的一年期股東總回報超過了基礎收益的增長
Simply Wall St ·  05/21 23:48

These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. For example, the Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598) share price is up 61% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 1.6% (not including dividends). That's a solid performance by our standards! The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 20% higher than it was three years ago.

如今,簡單地購買指數基金很容易,而且您的回報應該(大致)與市場相匹配。但是,您可以通過選擇高於平均水平的股票來顯著提高回報。例如,中國外運有限公司(HKG: 598)的股價在過去1年中上漲了61%,顯然超過了約1.6%(不包括股息)的市場回報率。按照我們的標準,這是一項不錯的表現!長期回報並不那麼好,股價僅比三年前高出20%。

In light of the stock dropping 8.6% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive one-year return.

鑑於該股在過去一週下跌了8.6%,我們想調查長期情況,看看基本面是否是該公司一年期正回報率的驅動力。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the last year Sinotrans grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 1.8%. The share price gain of 61% certainly outpaced the EPS growth. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it a year ago.

去年,中國外運的每股收益(EPS)增長了1.8%。61%的股價漲幅無疑超過了每股收益的增長。因此,可以公平地假設市場對該業務的看法比一年前更高。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到 EPS 隨時間推移的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:598 Earnings Per Share Growth May 22nd 2024
SEHK: 598 每股收益增長 2024 年 5 月 22 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。一直值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Sinotrans' TSR for the last 1 year was 69%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,中國運輸過去1年的股東總回報率爲69%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that Sinotrans shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 69% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 17% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sinotrans better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Sinotrans you should be aware of.

很高興看到中國外運的股東在過去一年中獲得了69%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這比五年來17%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解中國外運,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了一個你應該注意的中國外運警告標誌。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在買入的被低估的小盤股的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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