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EchoStar Corporation (NASDAQ:SATS) Shares Fly 28% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  May 21 06:10

Despite an already strong run, EchoStar Corporation (NASDAQ:SATS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 15% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, EchoStar's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Media industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SATS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

What Does EchoStar's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, EchoStar's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think EchoStar's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, EchoStar would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 1.0% each year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.8% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that EchoStar's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On EchoStar's P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift EchoStar's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that EchoStar's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - EchoStar has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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