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Nanjing Public Utilities Development Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000421) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  May 20 22:42

Nanjing Public Utilities Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000421) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.0% isn't as attractive.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Nanjing Public Utilities Development's P/S ratio of 0.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Gas Utilities industry in China is also close to 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000421 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

What Does Nanjing Public Utilities Development's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Nanjing Public Utilities Development's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanjing Public Utilities Development will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nanjing Public Utilities Development would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 33% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 33% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Nanjing Public Utilities Development is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Nanjing Public Utilities Development appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Nanjing Public Utilities Development currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Nanjing Public Utilities Development (2 make us uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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