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Allwin Telecommunication Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002231) Shares Climb 33% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  May 20 21:24

Allwin Telecommunication Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002231) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 27% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Allwin Telecommunication's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Communications industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 4.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002231 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

How Allwin Telecommunication Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Allwin Telecommunication has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. Those who are bullish on Allwin Telecommunication will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Allwin Telecommunication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Allwin Telecommunication's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 86%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 13% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 45% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Allwin Telecommunication's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Allwin Telecommunication's P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Allwin Telecommunication's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Allwin Telecommunication currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Allwin Telecommunication that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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