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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shanghai Zendai Property Limited (HKG:755) With Shares Advancing 64%

Simply Wall St ·  May 20 19:59

The Shanghai Zendai Property Limited (HKG:755) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 64%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shanghai Zendai Property's P/S ratio of 0.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:755 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 20th 2024

What Does Shanghai Zendai Property's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shanghai Zendai Property over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Zendai Property's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Shanghai Zendai Property's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.2%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 92% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 3.7% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Shanghai Zendai Property's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Zendai Property's P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Shanghai Zendai Property's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We find it unexpected that Shanghai Zendai Property trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Zendai Property (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Zendai Property, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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