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CPI Card Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PMTS) Shares Leap 27% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Simply Wall St ·  May 14 07:48

CPI Card Group Inc. (NASDAQ:PMTS) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, CPI Card Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.7x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 18x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

CPI Card Group has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:PMTS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 14th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think CPI Card Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For CPI Card Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like CPI Card Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 55% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 11% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 43% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that CPI Card Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On CPI Card Group's P/E

CPI Card Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that CPI Card Group currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with CPI Card Group (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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