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後場に注目すべき3つのポイント~金利上昇が影響して上げ幅縮小

3 points to pay attention to in the aftermath - rising interest rates affected and the increase narrowed

Fisco Japan ·  May 13 23:17

I would like to pay attention to the following 3 points in late-day trading on the 14th.

・The Nikkei Average rebounded slightly, and the increase was reduced due to the impact of rising interest rates

・The dollar and yen maintained an upward trend and emerged in the middle of 156 yen

・Advantest <6857> is the top contributor to price increases, and the SoftBank Group <9984> is in the same 2nd place

■The Nikkei Average rebounded slightly, and the increase was reduced due to the impact of rising interest rates

The Nikkei Average rebounded slightly. The front-end transaction was closed at 38199.10 yen (estimated turnover of 990 million shares), which was 19.64 yen higher (+0.05%) compared to the previous day.

The US stock market on the 13th was mixed. The Dow average closed at 39431.51 dollars (-0.21%), the Nasdaq was 47.37 points higher (+ 0.29%) at 16388.24, and the S&P 500 closed at 5221.42, which was 1.26 points lower (-0.02%). It rose after being close to deep-seated expectations of interest rate cuts. After that, expectations of interest rate cuts receded in response to a rise in inflation expectations from the NY Fed in April, and the exchange rate stalled. Furthermore, sales that were wary of the consumer price index (CPI), which is scheduled to be announced on the 15th, also became heavy, and the Dow began to decline, and the decline widened towards the end of the game. High-tech was supported by the rise in Apple and NVIDIA, which is preparing for financial results, and the decline in interest rates paid off and maintained a positive zone, and ended in various ways.

Although US stocks were mixed, the Tokyo market started trading with a slight buying advantage due to the fact that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Stock Index (SOX Index) was solid, etc. The Nikkei Average widened its range of increase and rose to 38477.68 yen, but the 25-day moving average line and the 75-day moving average were perceived as upper resistance lines, and the increase narrowed. The fact that Japan's 10-year bond yield rose to 0.965% also had an effect, and it continues to be in a position where there is little sense of direction, such as temporarily entering a negative zone compared to the previous day.

Among stocks adopted by the Nikkei Average, Furukawa Electric (5801), which announced good financial results, skyrocketed, and it was announced that net profit for the current fiscal year was expected to increase 16% from the previous fiscal year, and the Obayashi Group (1802) rose drastically. Also, TOPPAN (7911), which announced the establishment of a stock repurchase quota with an upper limit of 100 billion yen, was also bought. In addition, Mercari <4385>, Suzuki <7269>, Yamaha Motor <7272>, and Dai Nippon Printing <7912> have risen.

Meanwhile, in addition to Tosoh <4042> being sold due to disgust with financial results, the Daiwa Stock Exchange G (8601), which announced investment in Aozora Bank <8304>, was also drastically weak. In addition, Nissan Chemical (4021), Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519), Fujikura (5803), and Mitsui Gold (5706) became dominant in sales.

By industry, while other products, shipping industry, service industry, land transportation industry, transportation equipment, etc. rose, the securities/commodity futures business, insurance industry, rubber products, glass/earth products, petroleum/coal products, etc. declined.

Financial results announcements will peak today and tomorrow, so let's continue to be interested in financial statements stocks that will be announced during trading hours in the future. At 12:00, Kashima <1812>, Yokoo <6800>, and at 13:00, NISSUI <1332>, Matsui Kensetsu <1810>, Oji HD <3861>, ADEKA <4401>, Sumitomo Pharma <4506>, ENEOS <5020>, Tsugami <6101>, Daido Metal <7245>, and Morinaga Milk Industry <1965> 2264 >, Hama Rubber <5101>, Yakult <2267>, Gunze <3002>, Sumitomo Osaka Cement <5232>, Komai Haltec <5915>, Menicon <7780>, etc. are planned.

■The dollar and yen maintained an upward trend and emerged in the middle of 156 yen

The dollar and yen maintained an upward trend in the Tokyo market on the morning of the 14th, and the price rose from 156 yen 17 yen to 156 yen 49 yen. US Treasury Secretary Yellen once again pointed out that “it should be rare” with Japan's exchange intervention in mind, and there is a sense of security in yen sales. Also, the yield on 10-year US bonds was solid, and they were swayed to buy dollars.

The trading range up to this point is the dollar and yen from 156 yen 17 yen to 156 yen 49 sen, the euro yen from 168 yen 51 yen to 168 yen 78 sen, and the euro dollar from 1.0784 dollars to 1.0793 dollars.

■Backstage check stocks

・Eleven brands, such as Mitsui Matsushima Holdings <1518> and Mitsubishi Paper Mills <3864>, have stopped high

*Includes temporary stop height (sign value)

・Advantest <6857> is the top contributor to price increases, and the SoftBank Group <9984> is in the same 2nd place

■Economic indicators and statements from key figures

[Economic indicators]

・Japan-April Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index: +0.9% compared to the previous year (forecast: +0.8%, March: +0.9% ← +0.8%)

[Remarks by VIPs]

・Finance Minister Suzuki

“Stable trends are important rather than focusing on exchange rate levels”

“If there is excessive variation, it is necessary to smooth it out as a general theory”

“Keep a close eye on government bond purchase cuts, interest rate trends, and their effects”

・International Monetary Fund (IMF)

“Japan's short-term interest rate hikes should proceed at a moderate pace, depending on data”

<Domestic>

Nothing in particular

<Overseas>

・ 15:00 UK January-March ILO unemployment rate (forecast: 4.3%, December-February: 4.2%)

・ 15:00 Germany/April consumer price index revised value (year-on-year forecast: +2.2%, preliminary value: +2.2%)

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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