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We Think Winning Health Technology Group (SZSE:300253) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Winning Health Technology Group (SZSE:300253) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲 Winning Health Technology Group(深圳證券交易所代碼:300253)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/13 22:01

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Winning Health Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300253) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,威寧健康科技集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300253)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Winning Health Technology Group's Net Debt?

華寧健康科技集團的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Winning Health Technology Group had CN¥1.05b of debt, an increase on CN¥995.8m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥973.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥75.1m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,Winning Health Technology Group在一年內有10.5億元人民幣的債務,比9.9958億元人民幣的債務有所增加。但是,它確實有9.731億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲7,510萬加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300253 Debt to Equity History May 14th 2024
SZSE: 300253 2024 年 5 月 14 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Winning Health Technology Group's Balance Sheet?

威寧健康科技集團的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Winning Health Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥1.56b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.16b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥973.1m in cash and CN¥3.53b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.78b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Winning Health Technology Group的負債爲15.6億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲11.6億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有9.731億元的現金和35.3億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出17.8億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Winning Health Technology Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Carrying virtually no net debt, Winning Health Technology Group has a very light debt load indeed.

這種盈餘表明,Winning Health Technology Group的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。Winning Health Technology Group幾乎沒有淨負債,債務負擔確實很輕。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Winning Health Technology Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.19. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Winning Health Technology Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥373m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Winning Health Technology Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

威寧健康科技集團的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率很低,僅爲0.19。其息稅前利潤可支付其高達16.6倍的利息支出。因此,我們對它超保守的債務使用相當放鬆。同樣令人高興的是,儘管去年息稅前利潤出現虧損,但Winning Health Technology Group在過去12個月中扭轉了局面,實現了3.73億元人民幣的息稅前利潤。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Winning Health Technology Group能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Winning Health Technology Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,重要的是要檢查其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)中有多少可以轉換爲實際的自由現金流。去年,Winning Health Technology Group燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Winning Health Technology Group's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. It's also worth noting that Winning Health Technology Group is in the Healthcare Services industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. All these things considered, it appears that Winning Health Technology Group can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Winning Health Technology Group you should be aware of.

令人高興的是,Winning Health Technology Group令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着其債務佔上風。但嚴峻的事實是,我們對其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流感到擔憂。還值得注意的是,Winning Health Technology Group屬於醫療保健服務行業,該行業通常被認爲具有很強的防禦性。考慮到所有這些因素,Winning Health Technology Group似乎可以輕鬆應對其目前的債務水平。從好的方面來看,這種槓桿作用可以提高股東的回報,但潛在的缺點是損失風險更大,因此值得關注資產負債表。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了Winning Health Technology Group的1個警告信號,你應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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