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China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000039) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Simply Wall St ·  May 13 00:12

China International Marine Containers (Group)'s (SZSE:000039) stock up by 8.8% over the past three months. Given that the stock prices usually follow long-term business performance, we wonder if the company's mixed financials could have any adverse effect on its current price price movement Particularly, we will be paying attention to China International Marine Containers (Group)'s ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China International Marine Containers (Group) is:

2.4% = CN¥1.6b ÷ CN¥67b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

China International Marine Containers (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 2.4% ROE

It is hard to argue that China International Marine Containers (Group)'s ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.9%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 7.8% seen by China International Marine Containers (Group) over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared China International Marine Containers (Group)'s growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 10% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000039 Past Earnings Growth May 13th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about China International Marine Containers (Group)'s's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is China International Marine Containers (Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 38% (where it is retaining 62% of its profits), China International Marine Containers (Group) has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, China International Marine Containers (Group) has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 32% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that China International Marine Containers (Group)'s future ROE will rise to 7.2% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by China International Marine Containers (Group) can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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