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Investing in Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 142% Gain

Investing in Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 142% Gain

五年前投資Fastenal(納斯達克股票代碼:FAST)將爲您帶來142%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  05/12 08:59

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance, the price of Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST) stock is up an impressive 112% over the last five years.

在任何股票上(假設你不使用槓桿),你最多可能損失的就是100%的資金。但是,當你選擇一家真正蓬勃發展的公司時,你可以 使 超過 100%。例如,Fastenal公司(納斯達克股票代碼:FAST)的股票價格在過去五年中上漲了令人印象深刻的112%。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,讓我們調查一下,看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

Over half a decade, Fastenal managed to grow its earnings per share at 8.5% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 16% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

在過去的五年中,Fastenal設法將其每股收益增長到每年8.5%。每股收益的增長低於股價平均年增長16%。因此,可以公平地假設市場對該業務的看法比五年前更高。考慮到五年的收益增長記錄,這並不一定令人驚訝。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:FAST Earnings Per Share Growth May 12th 2024
納斯達克GS:2024年5月12日每股收益快速增長

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Fastenal's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,我們在上個季度看到了大量的內幕買盤,我們認爲這是積極的。另一方面,我們認爲收入和收益趨勢是衡量業務的更有意義的指標。可能值得一看我們關於Fastenal收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Fastenal's TSR for the last 5 years was 142%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,Fastenal在過去5年的股東總回報率爲142%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Fastenal's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 28%. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 19% per year. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

Fastenal今年的股東總回報率與市場平均水平基本持平,爲28%。這種增長看起來相當令人滿意,甚至比每年19%的五年期股東總回報率還要好。即使股價放緩,管理層的遠見也有可能爲未來帶來增長。內部人士買入股票是一件好事,但我們建議你在這裏查看內部人士的買入價格。

Fastenal is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Fastenal並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。對於那些喜歡尋找獲利投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費清單可能就是入場券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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