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IRICO Group New Energy Company Limited's (HKG:438) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  May 11 20:06

Despite an already strong run, IRICO Group New Energy Company Limited (HKG:438) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. But the last month did very little to improve the 57% share price decline over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think IRICO Group New Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Electronic industry is similar at about 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:438 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 12th 2024

How Has IRICO Group New Energy Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for IRICO Group New Energy recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on IRICO Group New Energy will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For IRICO Group New Energy?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like IRICO Group New Energy's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 25% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that IRICO Group New Energy is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On IRICO Group New Energy's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now IRICO Group New Energy's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of IRICO Group New Energy revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

You need to take note of risks, for example - IRICO Group New Energy has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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