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Is Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH) A Risky Investment?

Is Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH) A Risky Investment?

莫利納醫療保健(紐約證券交易所代碼:MOH)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/11 10:29

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Molina Healthcare, Inc. (NYSE:MOH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,莫利納醫療保健公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:MOH)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Molina Healthcare Carry?

莫利納醫療揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, Molina Healthcare had US$2.18b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has US$8.94b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$6.76b net cash.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,莫利納醫療的債務爲21.8億美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但它也有89.4億美元的現金可以抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲67.6億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MOH Debt to Equity History May 11th 2024
紐約證券交易所:衛生部債務與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 11 日

How Strong Is Molina Healthcare's Balance Sheet?

莫利納醫療的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Molina Healthcare had liabilities of US$8.51b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.51b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$8.94b as well as receivables valued at US$3.35b due within 12 months. So it can boast US$1.27b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,莫利納醫療在12個月內到期的負債爲85.1億美元,之後到期的負債爲251億美元。除這些債務外,它有89.4億美元的現金以及價值33.5億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以比之多12.7億美元 負債。

This surplus suggests that Molina Healthcare has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Molina Healthcare boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明Molina Healthcare的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Molina Healthcare擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Fortunately, Molina Healthcare grew its EBIT by 8.3% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Molina Healthcare can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

幸運的是,去年,莫利納醫療保健的息稅前利潤增長了8.3%,這使得債務負擔看起來更易於控制。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定Molina Healthcare能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Molina Healthcare has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Molina Healthcare recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 95% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管Molina Healthcare的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息和稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,Molina Healthcare記錄的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的95%,比我們通常預期的要強。如果需要的話,這有利於償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Molina Healthcare has US$6.76b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$881m, being 95% of its EBIT. So we don't think Molina Healthcare's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Molina Healthcare that you should be aware of.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,莫利納醫療擁有67.6億美元的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。它以8.81億美元的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的95%。因此,我們認爲莫利納醫療使用債務沒有風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了Molina Healthcare的1個警告信號,你應該注意這一點。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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