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China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:001213) Has Had A Decent Run On The Stock Market: Are Fundamentals In The Driver's Seat?

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:001213) Has Had A Decent Run On The Stock Market: Are Fundamentals In The Driver's Seat?

中鐵特貨物流有限公司's(SZSE:001213)股市表現不錯:基本面處於主導地位嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/10 19:47

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' (SZSE:001213) stock up by 9.5% over the past three months. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' ROE in this article.

中鐵特貨物流(深圳證券交易所:001213)的庫存在過去三個月中上漲了9.5%。正如大多數人所知道的那樣,長期基本面與市場價格走勢有很強的相關性,因此我們決定今天查看該公司的關鍵財務指標,以確定它們在近期的價格走勢中是否可以發揮任何作用。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究中國鐵路特種貨物物流的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Railway Special Cargo Logistics is:

因此,根據上述公式,中鐵特種貨物物流的投資回報率爲:

4.0% = CN¥754m ÷ CN¥19b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

4.0% = 7.54億元人民幣 ÷ 190億元人民幣(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的利潤。將其概念化的一種方法是,公司每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,就能獲得0.04元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' Earnings Growth And 4.0% ROE

中國鐵路特種貨運物流的收益增長和4.0%的投資回報率

As you can see, China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' ROE looks pretty weak. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 4.2%. So we are actually pleased to see that China Railway Special Cargo Logistics' net income grew at an acceptable rate of 11% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play that are influencing the company's growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

如你所見,中鐵特貨物流的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。此外,我們注意到該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的4.2%相似。因此,我們實際上很高興看到中鐵特貨物流的淨收入在過去五年中以可接受的11%的速度增長。我們認爲,可能還有其他因素在影響公司的增長。例如,公司的管理層可能做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的派息率很低。

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 2.9% in the same 5-year period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.

考慮到該行業收益在同期5年內以2.9%的速度萎縮這一事實,該公司的淨收入增長非常顯著。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:001213 Past Earnings Growth May 10th 2024
SZSE: 001213 過去的收益增長 2024 年 5 月 10 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about China Railway Special Cargo Logistics''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水,還是沼澤的水域在等着你。如果你想知道中鐵特貨物流的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中國鐵路特種貨物物流是否在有效利用其利潤?

China Railway Special Cargo Logistics has a three-year median payout ratio of 34%, which implies that it retains the remaining 66% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

中鐵特貨物流的三年中位數派息率爲34%,這意味着它保留了剩餘的66%的利潤。這表明其股息覆蓋範圍良好,鑑於該公司的可觀增長,管理層似乎正在有效地對其收益進行再投資。

While China Railway Special Cargo Logistics has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend.

儘管中鐵特貨物流一直在增長其收益,但它直到最近才開始派發股息,這可能意味着該公司決定通過分紅來打動新老股東。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we do feel that China Railway Special Cargo Logistics has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for China Railway Special Cargo Logistics.

總的來說,我們確實認爲中鐵特貨物流具有一些積極的屬性。儘管投資回報率很低,但由於再投資率很高,該公司的收益實現了可觀的增長。雖然我們不會完全解散公司,但我們要做的是努力確定業務的風險,以便在公司周圍做出更明智的決定。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲中鐵特種貨物物流確定的第一種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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