share_log

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Changjiang Runfa Health Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002435) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 26%

Simply Wall St ·  May 9 21:51

Changjiang Runfa Health Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002435) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 52% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Changjiang Runfa Health Industry's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Pharmaceuticals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.6x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002435 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 10th 2024

What Does Changjiang Runfa Health Industry's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Changjiang Runfa Health Industry over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Changjiang Runfa Health Industry, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Changjiang Runfa Health Industry's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Changjiang Runfa Health Industry would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 29% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Changjiang Runfa Health Industry is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Changjiang Runfa Health Industry's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Changjiang Runfa Health Industry confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Changjiang Runfa Health Industry that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment