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Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment Manufacturing Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300922) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  May 9 18:01

Despite an already strong run, Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment Manufacturing Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300922) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment ManufacturingLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 71.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment ManufacturingLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300922 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 9th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment ManufacturingLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment ManufacturingLtd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 39% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 62% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 38% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment ManufacturingLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment ManufacturingLtd's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment ManufacturingLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Qinhuangdao Tianqin Equipment ManufacturingLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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