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Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000952) Stock Rockets 33% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  May 8 18:50

Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000952) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 33% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Pharmaceuticals industry is similar at about 3.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000952 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 8th 2024

How Has Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical Performed Recently?

Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. Those who are bullish on Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.0% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 9.8% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's P/S

Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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