The recent earnings posted by China Sunshine Paper Holdings Company Limited (HKG:2002) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, China Sunshine Paper Holdings issued 9.6% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out China Sunshine Paper Holdings' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting China Sunshine Paper Holdings' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
China Sunshine Paper Holdings' net profit dropped by 21% per year over the last three years. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 91%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 94% over the same period. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if China Sunshine Paper Holdings can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of China Sunshine Paper Holdings.
Our Take On China Sunshine Paper Holdings' Profit Performance
Each China Sunshine Paper Holdings share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Therefore, it seems possible to us that China Sunshine Paper Holdings' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about China Sunshine Paper Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that China Sunshine Paper Holdings has 3 warning signs (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Sunshine Paper Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.